The flood of Covid-19 hospitalizations continues to surge in Mississippi. 1,154 patients were hospitalized while 299 patients filled ICU's.
The Mississippi State Department of Health reported eight additional deaths due to the virus but six of those deaths took place between July 29 and August 5. MSDH reported 2,051 cases but that number is judged not to be accurate. Studies have shown such reports typically undercount the number of actual infections by several factors.
State Health Officer Dr. Thomas Dobbs expects the pandemic to worsen in Mississippi. He said at a briefing yesterday that the vast majority of Wuhan virus patients and deaths were unvaccinated.
Dr. Dobbs urged everyone, including the vaccinated, to wear masks indoors and practice social distancing of yes, six feet.
Posted below are the slides presented in yesterday's Health Department briefing. They contain quit a bit of useful information. Some highlights are:
* Vaccinations were running around 100,000 per week from late February to mid-April. They were only 20,000 per week during the summer. The Delta surge got some attention because vaccinations rose to 52,951 last week.
* 71% of people over 65 years old are vaccinated. However, only 35% of Mississippi's population is vaccinated. The national average is 50%.
* The cases per day more than doubled from 9,837 in mid-July to 21,298 in early August. The cases are probably 8-10 times higher than what is reported.
* (Slide 11) The number of cases among nursing home residents remains less than it is for nursing home staff.
* (Slide 13) 18% of deaths since July 8 are among the fully-vaccinated. 11% of the hospitalizations in that period are among the fully vaccinated as well.
* (Slide 14) 41 people over the age of 65 died of the virus in 2021 although they were vaccinated. However, 1,805 died who were unvaccinated.
* (Slide 18) The vast majority of cases are the Delta varmint.
However, there might be some blips of encouragement in all the data.
As hospitalizations and cases surge, deaths have increased but at a much lower rate. Compare the two charts.
As show in the graphs, the deaths are not matching the surge yet. They have increased but not to the level of 30-50 deaths per day we witnessed six months and a year ago. Yet.
However, one figure gives cause not for optimism but possibly a glimmer of hope. John Hopkins University and the CDC created a Rt model for all fifty states and their respective counties. Rt website.
The Rate of Transmission has declined for several days. It began to rise on June 11 when it was 1.02. It rose to 1.29 on July 1. Cases began to rise on June 16. The Rt value shot up to 1.53 on July 19. The steep rise in cases began on June 27 and continues to this day.
Fortunately, the Rt value has been declining the last ten days although it is 1.36 today. A value above 1.0 means one person is infecting more than one person. If it continues to fall, Mississippi may catch a break in a few weeks. 26 states are already showing increases although others are still rising.
Kingfish note: Dr. Dobbs discounts the model so take it for what it's worth. Only time will tell if it holds.
Note: Rt for several counties
Hinds: 0.89
Madison: 1.34
Rankin: 1.12
Tallahatchie: 1.64
Neshoba: 1.89
72 comments:
It's like deja vu all over again.
CDC director on TV yesterday stated that the vaccine no longer prevents the spread and that in fact folks with the vax can ALSO spread the virus. So ? Pretty sure that we can all now except the fact we are riding in the same boat. Vax status means nothing. Fauci and his boys did this to us.
Neshoba County has an extremely high Rt. That's no surprise given they are the lowest vaccinated in the state and then you had the Neshoba County Fair. Look for that number to rise even higher.
I still don't see how anyone can say vaccines don't work. The over 65 crowd is almost 3/4 vaccinated and deaths are down more than 90% from the January peak. Back then you had an average of 36 elderly dying per day, now it is down to about 3 per day. For the rest of the population where vaccination rates hover at around 30% the number of deaths have dropped by less than 50%. Under 65 also makes up a much larger percentage of hospitalizations than before.
Please, everybody get vaccinated so we don't have to go through this surge and very likely another one right when Winter gets here and people are gathering indoors.
I am so glad we are back in the End of Time mode. Still say Biden and his reckless spreading of unvaxed and sick New Democratic Voters has some impact on this. Talk about a Super Spreader.
Of course, Dr. Dobbs discounts any positive leaning models. He's called Doomsday Dobbs for a reason. Why this clown hasn't been canned yet is beyond me. We need the State's top health officer to be apolitical, and if the CDC says to stand on one leg and rub your head to prevent the spread of Covid, he would be on every form of media that exists shouting that is just what you need to do. If science is "consensus", then it isn't science.
So much stupid in one post @2:17. First of all, the word is "accept." Second of all, reading comprehension is hard, but let me further break down for you what is included above: people who are vaccinated are far less likely to (1) clog up our hospitals; or (2) die. So no, vax status does not "mean nothing."
2:17 Walensky is an idiot who has no idea how to communicate. She speaks in absolutes that I normally expect from the anti-vaxx side. Back in April she said "vaccinated people do not carry the virus, don't get sick" and then the CDC had to backtrack very quickly as everyone knew that just wasn't true.
But that same off-the-cuff method also applies to what she said yesterday. "what they can't do anymore is prevent transmission" is just as broadly false as her statement back in April. Reality is vaccinated people are about 75% less likely to contract COVID and 95% less likely to have severe illness or death if they do. Vaccinations do help prevent the spread, but they are not as effective against the Delta variant as they were before.
They aren't 100% effective against transmission, but they aren't completely ineffective either. Wallensky needs a scientist to review her speeches to ensure they are accurate. Her mistakes are going to kill people.
And yes we're in the same boat, but those who are vaccinated have life vests. Those who are unvaccinated are wearing concrete shoes.
My new name for her is Dr. Drama Queen. She has no communications awareness whatsoever.
@2:36, you're right, she's no scientist.
Any moron can get admitted to Johns Hopkins med school, Washington U., forget about it, drooling halfwits. Harvard passes out MPHs like gumdrops. What could this bimbo know about science?
I would love to see your MCAT scores.
Don't get me wrong, I know she's a communist bent on planting chips into my hypothalamus for mind control -- but that doesn't mean she's not a scientist. Or smart, for that matter. Oh, a demented devil, to be sure. But a smart one.
Can someone PLEASE tell me when we are going to go back on lockdown? I need to stock up on weed and munchies.
I finally got an Geforce RTX 3080ti graphics card and a SteamVR so I can basically spend all day getting high and exploring virtual worlds instead of watching CNN 24/7 like last year.
I have fully stocked a deep freezer with frozen pizzas and chicken tendies so I am all set.
Love the fact that they admit their numbers are BS but quickly assert that the real numbers must be much higher.
KF, seen anything, anywhere, that breaks down vaccinated but then Delta infected by the vaccine received, i.e. Moderna, Pfizer, J&J? You sure as hell know they have that data. We know Vance was J&J.
How about we lock down our southern border before we lock down the people in the U.S. No one seems to worry about all of the
illegals bringing covid and who knows what else across the border.
So much opinion and politics and very little to any real science, and the democrats and Dr. Dobbs wonder why there are those who do not want to be part of their experimental, none FDA approved vaccine project. It would be refreshing to see the good Dr. Dobbs actually give us real statistics rather than saying "the majority," you are bring distrust on yourself doc!
"Reality is vaccinated people are about 75% less likely to contract COVID..."
This is absolutely false, and the Barnstable County MA outbreak data from 469 cases shows it - " Approximately three quarters (346; 74%) of cases occurred in fully vaccinated persons (those who had completed a 2-dose course of mRNA vaccine [Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna] or had received a single dose of Janssen [Johnson & Johnson] vaccine ≥14 days before exposure)."
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7031e2.htm
But, keep believing the media that keeps lying to you.
@3:16
You are asking for another meat shortage.
Lee Vance did NOT die from Covid. He had Covid. Two different things. Of course, it has been called Covid related. Bullshit.
How do we know that the vaccine works when the control group is tainted? See this article from NPR about placebo recipients, which are necessary to determine actual effectiveness, being later contacted and given the shot thereby negating the control group.nothing funny there.
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/02/19/969143015/long-term-studies-of-covid-19-vaccines-hurt-by-placebo-recipients-getting-immuni
Did you see the video from the Back 2 School Bash in Brandon last night? Marching band, cheerleaders, players, students, parents, teachers all packed into that building and not a mask in sight. Rankin's vax rate is lower than Hinds! Expect Brandon HS to go virtual and some football games will surely be lost thanks to that super spreader event. And then Rankin schools has made masks optional.
2:17, 2:29, 2:59, 3:19, and 3:32: So don't get vaccinated. I really don't give a sh*t at this point whether you live or die.
I'm not proud of that, but it's how I honestly feel much of the time. Y'all have worn me out, and I'm tired of arguing with you.
3:32 - your argumentation is wrong, you need to relate these numbers to the vaccine status of the people present during that outbreak. Yes, 74 % of cases were in the vaxxed, but if 95% of people present were vaxxed, then that is still a better statistic for the vaxxed than the unvaxxed. You know, logic and statistic…
Delta “varmint” ????
Bubba is worried about Covid being spread from the Southern border?
I would be willing to bet more unvaccinated, contagious, obese rednecks waddled across the doorways of Rankin county Walmarts today.
If the case numbers are being undercounted by a significant factor would that not mean we are much closer to “herd immunity” than they are saying?
what kind of toolbag would take up a hostital bed and be in there using up resources IF NOT ON A VENT OR IN ICU....
lockdown not coming until big mid term elections....
Funny how these numbers started popping in southern states right around the time it was discovered that the Biden Admin was dumping illegals in southern cities. What a coincidence!
I’m with 2:56pm. Take me, I’m Ready Player One.
All unvaccinated people will get this virus.
Amen 4:25. It's time for the stupid crowd to stop sucking up air and taking up space. And the biggest contributors to climate change are humans.
@5:28pm - That’s just bubba regurgitating what he heard on Fox News
The disturbing number for those of us who are fully vaccinated is 18% of deaths are from those people. That's not encouraging.
@2:56, there’s not going to be another lock down because we’re going to tell Democrats to go F themselves if they try to lock Americans down while not locking down the borders i.e. allowing open borders with 10,000 migrants testing positive for Covid-19 in one Texas holding facility.
@3:16 makes a great point! Can you imagine the level of wailing and gnashing of teeth from Democrats if Republicans were allowing open borders in order to buy votes while claiming we need to lock Americans down?
Here’s a headline on DailtyMail.com: “Photos reveal disgusting conditions at Texas holding facility where more than 10,000 migrants who tested positive for Covid-19 are being held.”
is there a special test for this delta variant?
5:28, 7:09 Stop with Bubba crap. It’s annoying. You obviously get your news from the clown news network but I digress. It’s a fact that Biden has opened our borders to unvaccinated and they are not testing them. They are shipping them all over the country. If you don’t see correlation to that and the reasons Covid is spiking again then you are special.
Keep your trust in the Lord. The media likes to promote fear.
remember this, most anti-vaxxers not against vaccinations, they are against vaccinations that maim humans neurological systems.
@3:32
Other states are FAR more vaccinated than MS, so it's expected & logical that the ratio (of new cases) will tend to skew more heavily toward vaccinated vs un-vaccininated. AS time progresses, this trend will only continue. Not that hard to figure out. This stuff is basic high school level math, logic, and reasoning.
That said... watch vax/unvax hospitalization/death stats. Those will skew overwhelmingly unvaxxed.
@9:15pm - Bubba upset?
Also, correlation doesn’t not always equal causation. Turn off Fox News.
@6:00
You would think so, but the data does not support it. In addition, and this is the really important part, infection/recovery from covid does NOT give nearly as good of immunity as vaccination does. That's the case with almost all vaccines, except mumps.
@8:57
No. The regular tests will detect it just like other variants. Samples have to genetically sequenced (like CSI) to determine the variant.
As mentioned in KF's original posting, my data is showing a _slight_ decline in the rate. However, don't read too much into that.
If it holds (or continues!) we are still WAY, WAY above the rate needed to completely obliterate healthcare in Mississippi.
And if the rates are dropping... we are still opening school next week. Given the overall lack of countermeasures... this thing is going to bust wide open like we've never seen before.
This thing is killing people, both from covid and from denial/deferral of other critical medical care. It's only going to get worse, for now.
I would recommend stocking up on supplies so as to not have to go to the store for 3-4 weeks.
We set a new record for daily COVID hospital admissions. 204 yesterday compared to the previous high of 195 in January. There are 1,242 in the hospital now, and at this rate we’ll break the total hospitalization record of 1,433 this weekend. ICU use will also break records. The medical capacity is overwhelmed.
In case there is any confusion, unlike in football in this situation a high score is not good. The only glimmer of hope is the mortality rate of those over 65 who are 3/4 vaccinated is still relatively low. Vaccinations work, but we need more people to get theirs so the disease doesn’t devastate our citizens.
Tater can’t ignore this much longer. If the people won’t do the right thing then you will see businesses and gatherings being shut down again.
I would rather be a bubba than a borg or a cowardly chicken little with piss soaked panties like 11:26 (worse than ever)
11:17, show us on the doll where Tucker Carlson touched you.
The end of the world was last year, is this one of the programs where the sequel is better than the original?
That one guy up above must work in the medical field. Only someone with train can talk you into the graveyard the way she does.
August 6, 2021 at 5:28 PM said “Bubba is worried about Covid being spread from the Southern border?
I would be willing to bet more unvaccinated, contagious, obese rednecks waddled across the doorways of Rankin county Walmarts today.”
@5:28 PM, be very thankful that Kingfish will post your loud mouth, look down your elitist nose, make fun of the appearances of those you might disagree with and of where they live and shop BS - then turn around and censor a rebuttal full of hardcore truth.
We’re hearing all kinds of reasons as to why KF protects you loud mouths on “his site:”
he’s afraid of the wailing and deflecting you will respond with;
he’s afraid you might have to run to mommy/daddy/Antifa/your therapist;
he’s a closet leftist;
he has some born to privilege rich silver spoon raised liberal friends he’s trying to impress and get in or stay in with;
he’s indoctrinated;
he has some magical make believe click bait formula in his head;
he has a power trip censorship gratification fetish;
etc., etc., etc.
Regardless of why, be very thankful that KF protects you from truth rebuttals that can be just as F’ing hateful as your elitist BS that he more than gladly posts on “his site.”
P.S. Hey Kingfish, are you going to post this one? Or will you censor it, post the “If you can't make it to church this morning, enjoy this sermon presented by the late Dr. Frank Pollard” video tomorrow - then insinuate to your readers again that you only censor posts by Nazis, that have threats, that talk about trannies, or whatever other BS excuse you’ve used in the past, while at the same time allowing trash like 5:28 to post their hate?
@6:53
If the mortality rate is dropping some, that's good. But be sure to combine that with what Dobbs/others are saying... people are surviving, but they are also tying up beds for much longer periods of time. And when the beds are all full (very soon)... not good.
Like a morbid game of musical chairs.
@7:35
That's what you idiots all say... till you, your spouse/kids, cousin, mamaw, grandpa, etc are struggling to breathe. Then you're going to want a functioning ER/ICU/hospital/healthcare system.
You'll be pissing and moaning, blaming everyone but your own dumb self.
I might trust the vaccine more if:
1. It was derived from a piece of dead or attenuated virus, instead of mRNA which causes your body to produce spike proteins.
2. If mRNA vaccines had been around and trialed longer than the last 6-12 months in humans with excellent safety data.
3. If Pfizer and Moderna had not compromised their long term studies by placebo groups going ahead and getting vaccinated; along with promoting the vaccine as safe for everyone even though some people have allergies to PEG and some have immune conditions that the vaccine is contraindicated for.
4. If VAERS adverse events reports were addressed, including the over 12,000+ death reports even after the numbers were mysteriously revised downward.
5. If someone could explain the menstrual cycle disturbances I experienced for the first half of the year, along with other friends and family who had similar issues.
6. If vaccine manufacturers (such as Pfizer, who received $3,500,000,000 in profit last quarter, majority vaccine sales) or (such as Moderna, $2,800,000,000 in profits last quarter) would be held liable for any potential damages their vaccines caused. They currently are not and will not help you if their vax causes injury.
7. If Moderna and J&J had ever successfully produced a vaccine pre-pandemic, which they had not.
8. If therapeutics, which are being used the world over, had not be maligned and denied to patients in the outpatient setting... causing untold numbers of hospitalizations and deaths.
9. If people weren’t having to be manipulated, guilted, threatened and harassed to take the vaccines.
10. If Fauci can get away with abusing and euthanizing dogs for “research” and sewing aborted baby scalps to rats.... then I don’t imagine he has a problem screwing with humans and their health. He’s a modern day Mengele.
We're over age 65, fully vax'd, healthy, and our freezers and pantry are stocked with food. We have a couple of boxes of N95 masks and hand sanitizer. We are living our lives and doing things we normally do except we will not spend one penny in stores or at venues that don't take our health and welfare into consideration by imposing mandatory masks and distancing. We don't care what the gub'mint or anti-vaxers do; we're taking matters into our own hands by boycotting the idiots.
http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2021/images/08/02/dhs.declaration.pdf
It looks like one of Biden's Homeland Security personnel is saying the same thing, Bubba is. Would you like a little salt with your crow?
8:14 have you been to a Walmart in Rankin County?, Kingfish doesn’t censor you and your ilk more than anyone else.
I think 8:14 left at least one possibility out of his list of reasons for KF's "censorship" of his "truth rebuttals":
Perhaps you are a toxic, rambling crackpot with a persecution complex, whose "hardcore truth" is fully detached from reality, and who can't stay on-topic. Just a thought, based on what was actually posted from you.
FYI: the CDC order referenced in the affidavit posted at 11:13 took effect on October 13, 2020, and extended the CDC order of March 20, 2020. It suspended "the introduction of all covered aliens into the United States."
It covers "aliens seeking to enter the United States at POEs who do not have proper travel documents, aliens whose entry is otherwise contrary to law, and aliens who are apprehended at or near the border seeking to unlawfully enter the United States between POEs."
The effect of the order is the "continued suspension of the right to introduce covered aliens requires the movement of all such aliens to the country from which they entered the United States, their country of origin, or another practicable location outside the United States, as rapidly as possible . . . "
https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2020/10/16/2020-22978/order-suspending-the-right-to-introduce-certain-persons-from-countries-where-a-quarantinable
In other words, the borders have already been "shut down" for approximately 1 year and 4 months. Surely the talking heads who have turned immigration into a COVID-based political football already know this.
I keep hoping Bubba is going to call me, libtard, snowflake, etc in person. I drive a black model 3 Tesla extended range with a "Trump for prison 2024" sticker on the back and you would think that would be tempting enough on its own.
God forgive me but I do so hate a redneck!
@9:26
The virus does not care about your crackpot, ill-informed questions/ramblings. It wants to infect you, to use you to infect others, and to mutate and do it all over again.
Hospitals are filling up. Very little spare capacity exists in the system, and it's dropping by the day.
no vax, no mask. your choice.
just don’t go to the hospital when you can’t breathe. gotta save room for the fried fish buffet heart attack crowd.
@9:26am - I’m confused. Your post seems very anti-vaccine, yet #5 in your post suggests your menstrual cycle was affected by it like you got it…?
Or are you saying all the people vaccinated with the 5G chips around you are affecting your shark week?
Covid,Covid,Covid.
Mask or vax.
Vax or mask.
Blah,Blah,Blah.
I wish to to know the latest over in Pelahatchie.
Although it's a long way from Jackson, their shenanigans are on par with the Hinds County BOS comedy show.
Lord have mercy, the little town of Pelahatchie has given us some of the funniest stories within the last few years.
(Well ... until we saw David L.Archie with a gavel ... or watched Stokes talking about Boo Boo).
@1:08
Your odds of burning your house down or burning to death in a white hot lithium battery fire are higher than my odds of dying from covid-19.
August 7, 2021 at 9:26 AM
Agree and well stated.
The current MS deaths, approx 7,500, are projected to double in the next 45-60 days. And that's with mitigation.
Get your shots, encourage others to do the same. Be part of the solution instead of the problem.
I am 71 years old, breast cancer surivivor (I hope!), and still work full time. I am fully vaccinated, and fortunately did not experience any side effects. Approximately 20 of our 30 employees refuse to get the vaccine, because "it's not FDA approved," or "there's not enough information." This was on a poll recently taken by our company, trying to encourage the employees to get the vaccine. The majority of these employees are drinkers, smokers, and ink their bodies up with tatoos. Yet they don't want a vaccine in their bodies because they're afraid of what's being injected.
12:43, bravo, for stating the obvious. I'm perfectly aware of what the document is concerning. I would like to give the benefit of the doubt to people that, I assume, make mistakes, but in your case I won't. Your kind has an agenda to promote.
You either didn't read the document, or you intentionally neglected to address the sworn statement, by the official, of the multitudes of illegals coming over the boarder with Covid. These multitudes are also coming at a rate never before experienced. I won't address all that was in that document, on this board. The link is there for any honest person to see the disaster that the Biden administration is, not only allowing, but is encouraging.
When I said, honest person, that didn't include you. Your only purpose to address the post was to discredit it. Your kind has an agenda, to that, there is no doubt. My only question, who is paying you?
UMMC is now a SUPER-SPEADER hospital because of the requirement of all employees/students to be fully vaccinated.
10:36, All I did was go back to the CDC order to which the affidavit referred, on the presumption that most readers of this blog would not have otherwise been aware of it, as I was not.
Everything I wrote was taken directly from the source, i.e., the CDC order, which states that the U.S. government is currently prohibited from relocating illegal immigrants inside the U.S., and has been for well over a year.
If there is anyone promoting an agenda, it is you, as evidenced by your quickness to brand me a paid-liar. So how did you come to be in possession of the affidavit, which was apparently taken directly from the federal courts' ecf system? I doubt an average concerned citizen would be able to locate and access that document. No one is paying me to write comments. How about you?
-12:43
I got the jab, and don't care what anyone else does.
Maybe that makes me selfish but I think accepting ones own life consequences is beneficial.
I think BTE means well, but the glib tone and condescension is very counterproductive.
I understand many are tired that "nice didn't work".
But it almost feels like a segment of the population is getting an adrenaline rush from their superiority.
What may have started as genuine concern for others feels incredibly self serving now.
That is a nice straw man you posted. Two post you have made, and you have yet to address the document. If I had wanted to post the CDC article, I would have. You still refuse to address the link I posted. Why? The affidavit is posted on the internet for any that want to see, and I'm not your average poster. Your refusal to address the link, I posted, makes your denial of being a paid commenter look weak. Your first post attempted to discredit the initial post, your second post is an attempt to discredit me. Ain't you special? Not getting paid, right?
https://www.kens5.com/article/news/special-reports/at-the-border/temporary-emergency-shelter-being-built-in-mcallen-near-border-to-house-overwhelming-number-of-immigrants-stranded/273-037a34e0-ce40-4d1f-b239-1030e348f76b
That is a link to a T.V. station in McAllen, Texas. Ask the folk around McAllen if there's a problem with the illegals, Covid, and the terrible way the Biden administration ISN'T handling it. Remember, if you visit the T.V. station link, these are the numbers of illegals that were CAUGHT. God only knows the numbers not caught. Now who is paying you?
@1:30
You should care about others getting the vaccine. Our low vax rate in MS is the root of the resurgence we are having
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