Wednesday, July 24, 2024

Sid Salter: Biden's Choice More Like Wilson's in '20 than LBJ's in '68

The easy political comparison to President Joe Biden’s decision to with withdraw from the 2024 U.S. presidential race is to point to incumbent Democratic President Lyndon Baines Johnson’s decision not to seek the presidential nomination of his party in the 1968 campaign.

While that comparison would be reasonably accurate, it would not reflect the rather stunning differences between the decisions made by those two presidents.

Mired in the national division over the conduct of the Vietnam War and under political attack from both the Republican Party and his fellow Democrats, LBJ was 59 years old when he withdrew from the 1968 campaign. Biden is 81.

While burdened with poor physical health and what biographers and wife Lady Bird Johnson would confirm was a pervasive battle with anxiety and depression (mostly about his physical health and fear of his health leading to incapacitation), Johnson’s cognitive abilities and mental acuity were not in question.

President Harry S. Truman declined to seek re-election in March 1952. The decision was tied to the Korean War and corruption scandals in the Truman administration.

Johnson withdrew months before the 1968 Democratic Convention. The 1968 election was rocked by the assassinations of Dr. Martin Luther King in Memphis and later Robert F. Kennedy Sr. in Los Angeles. Biden withdrew less than a month before the 2024 Democratic Convention in Chicago. Biden’s decision came just days after a failed assassination attempt on the life of GOP nominee former President Donald Trump.

The repercussions of Biden’s withdrawal will evolve throughout the 2024 campaign, but Trump is ahead in the current polls and Democratic Party uncertainty helps his campaign.

Yet the 1968 campaign is not a compelling comparison to our current political reality as a nation. A look at the 1920 presidential campaign reveals compelling, almost startling similarities.

President Woodrow Wilson, a liberal Democrat known for leading the nation through World War I, for the formation of the League of Nations (forerunner of the United Nations) and changed the nation’s economy with the establishment of the Federal Reserve and the imposition of the modern income tax, served as president from 1913until 1921.

While preparing to seek a third term in office, Wilson suffered a stroke in Oct. of 1919 that incapacitated the president. His second wife, Edith, who he married while in the White House, exhibited significant control along with two trusted physicians over access to Wilson and what documents were discussed or presented to him. Many historians, some seriously, referred to First Lady Edith Wilson as “the first female president of the United States.”

The nation’s political climate in 1920 and 2024 is likewise similar. After 116,000 Americans were killed in World War I, fighting continued in a place called Ukraine.

Along with the First World War, Wilson also led the U.S. through a global Spanish influenza pandemic that claimed a reported 675,000 American lives. After WWI, the American economy bounced between recession and inflation. Immigration – an issue tied to health and financial fears – was a divisive issue in presidential politics as it is today.

Despite a desire to run for a third term, Wilson stood down and stepped aside in 1920. The Democrats nominated then-Ohio Gov. James Middleton Cox (father of the Cox Enterprises media empire) and a young New York Navy Department administrator named Franklin D. Roosevelt.

Republicans nominated Ohio U.S. Sen. Warren Harding and Massachusetts Gov. Calvin Coolidge. With the Cox-Roosevelt ticket stuck with defending Wilson’s unpopular policies after a war, a pandemic, and dire economic troubles, the Harding-Coolidge tickets won in a landslide despite the presence of the famously un-effervescent “Silent Cal.” Despite the tsunami of change in the 2024 presidential election in the last 10 days – from the attempt on Trump’s life to Biden’s withdrawal from the campaign – the choices eventually made by women and independent voters are still the likely margin in what remains a close race.

Sid Salter is a syndicated columnist. Contact him at sidsalter@sidsalter.com.

34 comments:

Anonymous said...

Trump would have done much better picking a moderate female republican to be VP. Vance does nothing to attract independent voters and females in swing states. Now that he isn't running against a zombie I am afraid he may lose this election, not that I'm a Trump fan but I don't want 4 more years of democrat policies.

Sid the RINO said...

Despite a desire to run for a third term, Wilson stood down and stepped aside in 1920.

Crap Sid. Wilson didn't run in the primaries and win them overwhelmingly. Wilson's name wasn't placed in nomination by his party at the convention even after 43 ballots. Wilson would have accepted the nomination but his party of Democrats didn't want him. Wilson also refused to endorse any of the candidates in nomination at that convention.

But that doesn't fit your non sequitur narrative to make the insider coup of Democrats that has disenfranchised primary voters and overthrown Biden appear to be nothing more than a Wilson-like decision of a senior statesman.

Anonymous said...

We no longer live in a time when elections are won by getting the most votes. We now live in a time where elections are won by counting the most votes. If you believe otherwise, you're falling for a major head fake.

Anonymous said...

The latest Ipos poll as reported by 538 has Harris leading +4 . It’s only going to get worst for Trump , he can’t help himself , personal attacks on Harris will make him lose more Republican women. They will stay home , which is the RNC’s worst nightmare,

Anonymous said...

The only thing missing from this Salter column is some stupid connection between Woodrow Wilson and the Neshoba County Fair.

Anonymous said...

9:40 I agree. But unlike most presidential candidates who will choose a running mate who broadens their base of support Trump's concern with any subordinate is absolute personal obedience to Trump. Vance will probably not last four years.

Anonymous said...

If a person cannot find a poll that says what they want they do not own a computer.

Anonymous said...

Vance will attract the blue collar and Union voters in droves.
Soccer Moms? It is doubtful. But grocery prices, gas prices and school madness will make Trump attractive to the Soccer Moms.

Anonymous said...

11:12 for the win. That is, if facts matter. In today's world facts are irrelevant to the narrative.

Anonymous said...

Sid, how expensive is that far left progressive kool-aid?

Anonymous said...

If Harris chooses a white male moderate she will win. Trump blew it with Vance who will add nothing to the ticket.

Anonymous said...

The Dems dumped Biden not because he was senile and no longer effective, they have moved on because he was certainly going to lose and this is an election they don't have to lose. There is a big difference.

Anonymous said...

It’s looking like Obama - McCain or Obama - Romney in 2012. The Republicans will have a lot of time to fine their next candidate . It appears to me ,we got President Harris for the next 8 years.

Anonymous said...

I wonder if the decision to step out of the presidential race in these cases has anything to do with the fact that these were three of the worst presidents this country has ever seen?

Anonymous said...

Vance has the highest negative rating ever for a vp selection, If veeps win an election she could pick a rock.

Anonymous said...

Vance has the highest negative rating ever for a vp selection ...

Link?

Anonymous said...

Sometimes I think the GOP wants to lose this election.
Abortion alone has caused so many to defect. I am not sure where I land on that issue but I do know a large portion of the voting block seems to want options.

I don't understand the long game here. If we lose to Harris and she reverses all abortion restrictions, Well, I guess I hope it was worth it to take such a polarizing stance.

Anonymous said...

Damn 11:12 - your attempt to discredit Salter's column falls flat on its face by your on narrative.

Yes, Wilson's name 'was not placed in nomination by the party at its convention' --- because??? Because the party didn't want him. Just as Biden's name will not be placed in nomination by 'the party' in 2024 because???? Because the party doesn't want him either.

You say 'Wilson would have accepted the nominaiton but the Democrats didn't want him'. TRUE. Just as true as the statement that "Biden would accept the nomination but ----- hold on here ----the Democrats don't want him either.

And your attempt to blow out the Trump line that this is "disenfranchising 14 million Democrat voters" is pure bullhockey. Nice try, but it is no more disenfranchising of voters than any other presidential primary nominating process --- the folks who voted for Nikki Haley, or Ron DeSantis, or the guy who's name nobody can pronounce much less spell --- their votes are not being recognized at the RNC convention as "THE PARTY" makes their nomination for president.

Presidential preference primary votes do nothing but indicate -- state by state, not anything controlling -- the preference of Democrat or Republican voters in that state at that time. The selection of the party's nominee is done at the convention by delegates - not by any of those 14 million folks who voted in their state's preferential primaries.

Some folks did not vote for Biden in their state's primary - were they going to be 'disenfranchised' (your word, I realize copied from the talking points) if Biden had stayed on the ticket when the party nominated him rather than who they voted for? No more than the Haley, DeSantis, or other Republican voters who's choice was not nominated in Milwaukee last week.

Same bullhockey that folks try to make a legal issue about changing the name on ballots - the states put the nominee of the party, as certified by the party, on the ballot. The fact that Biden (along with others) filed to run for the state's primary is no different than any of the other candidates who filed and were candidates in the state's primary.

Anonymous said...

If Kingfish taught it false , he wouldn’t print and you can google it.

Anonymous said...

Harris can not adjust/remove abortion restrictions. SCOTUS ruled that abortions are legal but each individual state can pass legislation to restrict it.

The GOP has no impact on abortions on a national level, only at the state level.

Anonymous said...

Yea 11:12AM Sid left out “the well-orchestrated “palace coup” from “operatives at the very highest levels of the Democratic Party.”

https://nypost.com/2024/07/22/us-news/top-dems-threatened-to-remove-biden-unless-he-resigned/

How nice it must be for the “threat to Democracy” horse s__t spewing Democrat party to just get rid of the fair and square voter selected primary winner once they realized he could not beat Trump in the general.

But now, Democrats have the perfect candidate; DEI all the way. Harris got her azz handed to her in the 2020 primaries and was selected by Biden for one reason and one reason alone, gender and skin color. Exactly was the idiot voters of the country deserve.

Anonymous said...

5:09 abortion is wrong. It's murdering a human being, and some like to use pretty little words like 'choice,' but that doesn't change what it is. And if one wants to continue the practice in order to gain or keep a political advantage, then that's just as wrong.

Anonymous said...

"If Kingfish taught it false , he wouldn’t print and you can google it."

Okay - let's try it again, this time in English.

Anonymous said...

Now that the Supreme Court is in Republican hands, Trump is useless to many RINOs. It will be Deja vu for Trump.

Anonymous said...

I think 'the party' has the right to determine the nominee. I didn't realize Sleep-Pervy had the right to choose the nominee by some process of personal coronation. Strangely, I find myself in agreement with BLM who seems opposed to the way it came about.

Now that she is pushing herself off as African American, there's no way in hell 'the party' will mess with it by ousting her. Talk about political suicide.

And, no, Sid...zero similarity between this situation and that of LBJ in '68.

Anonymous said...

What'cha been smoking? Soccer moms love the Economic, Christian nationalism that is the movement led by Trump.

Anonymous said...

It’s funny Trump is talking about crowd size at his rallies. Harris is talking about the war in the Middle East and Urkanie, pulling people out of poverty and women’s reproductive rights. Which do you and the voters in swing states care about most?

Anonymous said...

Tell us again who is a danger to democracy.

Kingfish said...

Trump killed Soleimani, Harris bitched about it. 'Nuff said.

Anonymous said...

Where is your link Kingfish, I goggled it and couldn’t find anything to support your comment. Most policy experts condemned Trump actions at the time is what I read.

Kingfish said...

HER tweet on January 3, 2020. Of course you would support keeping him alive.

Anonymous said...

I don’t have x so I still, don’t know , all I have is your opinion, from what I read it was Trump looking for a head so he could prove he was a badass, and to be like Obama . Since he got bin Laden.

Anonymous said...

July 24, 2024 at 5:34 PM, the link below says it all

https://x.com/andrewschulz/status/1816151001092780497?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1816151001092780497%7Ctwgr%5E4362fcded0472a2482bd280ab214b4277c8bcb14%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.infowars.com%2Fposts%2Fhilarious-epic-breakdown-of-how-america-got-to-a-trump-vs-kamala-election%2F

Anonymous said...

"Some folks did not vote for Biden in their state's primary - were they going to be 'disenfranchised' (your word, I realize copied from the talking points) if Biden had stayed on the ticket when the party nominated him rather than who they voted for?"

You ain't all that bright, are you? In the Democrat primaries, all that participated were allowed to vote for the candidate of their choice. They were not disenfranchised. The installment of Harris as the presumptive nominee by the elitist Democrat hierarchy without doubt disenfranchised those primary voters. Those voters did not have the option to choose, or reject, Kamala Harris. Thus, they were disenfranchised. I don't have talking points, what I have is a functioning brain.


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If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!

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