Jackson Jambalaya

I'm sure glad we got voter ID!

Actual Covid 19 numbers for April are HERE

It looks like both ICU's and vents are well within the consistently low range we've seen previously.

The continued increase in total cases is inevitable for now with increased testing. But it will be interesting to see if this marks a prolonged acceleration or is an outlier.

The increase in hospitalizations is a wildcard: MS hospitals are anecdotally reporting the burden of Covid-19 patients is low. Maybe that's not accurate across the board. Or maybe more people are getting tested and receiving lower intensity treatment -- e.g., a night or two as a precaution?

I'd be interested to hear from hospital docs and staff on their experience.

The hospitalization number concerns me most. They aren't suddenly admitting more people with less serious symptoms. I know there is a lag between infection and hospitalization, but this shows the infection rate was still growing no more than 10 days ago. The only good thing is it linear growth and not exponential.

The total number growth is going to be because of expanded testing of people with milder symptoms. Drive-through tests are sprouting up across the state. That is reflected in the rapidly decreasing percentage of hospitalizations to total tests which was running 33% and is now down to 20%.

Deaths are fairly steady at 9 after removing the 11 that were added from prior days.

We'll get to a decline eventually just like other states and nations have done. Too bad it is taking longer than expected.

What numbers do we trust?

All the nursing home deaths rolling in. Sad but expected.

A record day of new cases! So much for Tate tell us each day that things are getting better.

With this announcement, maybe Tate and our Senators shouldn't have spent so much time praising Trump and each other for doing such a "fantastic job".

We may be flattening the curve but we sure as hell didn’t hit the previously predicted peak.

This map and the following table show total cases in Mississippi as of 6 p.m. April 30, 2020, and include all reported cases since March 11, 2020.
•New cases reported today: 397
•New deaths reported today: 20 *

* 11 of the deaths reported today occurred between March 29 and April 16, and are based on death certificate investigations.

Time to lock it down for good!

Exponential growth is next...

Team Chaos

For the idiots that still closely "socialize" and don't wash their hands, it sure gives a new meaning to "open carry", doesn't it? What Chokwe gonna do about THAT?!

Gee, and we haven't gotten to 14 days past " Safe at Home"

When oh when will some of you "get" that those who have made careers out of studying viruses and preventing pandemics might know more than YOU?

I saw the Michigan Covidiot " leader" ask " where dey cum up with 6 feet, anyway?" Anyone who'd follow that nut across the street is mentally ill or bereft.

Bubbas and Bubbettes, there is actual video of how that testing is done. It's not hard if you have the knowledge and equipment to measure a cough or sneeze. There are some folks who can make 13 feet with a sneeze.

If you really wanted to wise up, you'd find out that a linear chart like we are seeing ( there are 44 ways to graph, this is just one), is actually the least scary.

The numbers of "cases" will start to skyrocket now that antibody testing is on board. Kingfish is right to focus on the number hospitalized and the number in the ICU as indictors or potential problems. Hospital beds and resources are the only reason we are "social distancing" and in "shelter in place." Remember that the bending of the curve is not going to decrease the mortality of the virus. The area under the curve will remain the same. It is only meant to protect our health resources.

@1:14pm

You failed to read the asterisk preceding those numbers which states: “Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.”

My father always taught me to not do anything half-assed, and that includes reading.

Jackson had 14 murders in April but only 8 people died from Covid-19 in Hinds county...

They just trying to scare you folks before the weekend...

Don’t worry. Tomorrow and Sunday's update will say cases dropped (Duh clinics closed on weekend) and then will pop up again Tuesday. Clockwork. Open the economy back up and focus on keeping the elderly and people with preexisting health conditions indoors and safe.

@1:14, since you've posted this incomplete information twice now I'm going to assume you are trying to be deliberately misleading. The page itself says the data only represents documentation from death certificates that are submitted to NCHS. That process can take several weeks and lags by an average of 1-2 weeks as is disclosed. The linked table is not a current death total by a long shot.

For the CDC page that shows the most current data on deaths please refer to this page.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

@2:24 just as everybody else fails to read the preliminary numbers of 60,000+ as real cases. Those are early numbers too, are you telling people, those are not the actual numbers? Or do you just do that when it is more accurate numbers?

"[The models] have been extremely inaccurate," Dr. David Samadi, a New York-based surgeon, told Fox News. "These models gave a horrifying prediction that suggested COVID-19 could kill anywhere from 200,000 to 1.7 million Americans. Currently, it looks to be more like 60,000 to 65,000 deaths. While any American life lost to this virus is a shame, the death and infection rate is looking not quite so bleak as it was in the beginning."

Team Chaos, drum roll.

Team Chaos. I don't know where Dr. Samadi is getting his numbers from, but according to the CDC there are already over 63,000 deaths and they are continuing at almost 2,000 per day. There is no way we won't hit 75,000 deaths before the end of May. And then he has to assume the deaths will completely stop and there will be no resurgence in the fall, which goes against most epidemiological experts beliefs. Such statements undermine his credibility.

Dr. Samadi sounds about as reliable as Dr. Phil or Dr. Oz. I'll put my faith in Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx who actually are experts in the field with decades of experience.

Something else to worry about to take your mind off of the inevitable Covid death many are convinced will happen to them.

"Comet C/2019 Y4 (Atlas) was discovered in 2019 by the ATLAS (Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System) robotic astronomical survey system in Hawaii, according to the European Space Center, which is NASA’s Hubble partner.

“It brightened quickly until mid-March, and some astronomers initially anticipated that it might be visible to the naked eye in May to become one of the most spectacular comets seen in the last two decades,” the ESA explained in a statement. “However, the comet abruptly began to get dimmer, leading astronomers to speculate that the icy core may be fragmenting, or even disintegrating.”

Hubble observed the comet’s breakup on April 20 and April 23. The comet was approximately 91 million miles from Earth when its disintegration was captured by Hubble, according to NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, which manages the telescope. “If any of it survives, the comet will make its closest approach to Earth on May 23 at a distance of about 72 million miles (116 million kilometers), and eight days later it will skirt past the Sun at 25 million miles (40 million kilometers)”.

What they don't say is if some of the bits and pieces will get thrown back at us by the Sun's gravitational field as we, Earth, is only 93 million miles from the Sun. I'm sure there is an Astrophysicist in our audience today to give us a clear and focused picture of this. Just throwing it out there for any and all Sheldon's.

I agree with @4:37. Why interview Dr. Samadi? A doctor yes, an epidemiologist no.

https://nypost.com/2019/11/23/embattled-surgeon-dr-david-samadi-has-a-new-gig-on-long-island/

Lock it back down. (Not for COVID, just cause the past couple weeks have been heaven on the roads, the -10 under the speed limit dipshits are back)

Add to this the prediction, by some, that 5G is going to give us all cancer. The future is rosy.

C-19 is bad sh--, even if you are young and healthy. Even if you survive it, you will incur medical bills. Lord help you if you need hospitalization because bankruptcy looms on your horizon. I certainly don't want to get it, nor do I want other people to starve. My best friend is under quarantine at his home in Tupelo with diagnosed bacterial pneumonia, which is probably C-19 pneumonia, and his doc refuses to test him "because the treatment (or lack thereof) would be the same if you have it or not".

So I will try to do what I can, what I can afford, to help others, including restaurants, survive. I'll order takeout from Wynndale Steakhouse tomorrow for my husband and me. Next week, I'll order takeout at least once from somewhere else. I will go get a haircut and pedicure from my longtime hair salon in a couple of weeks, wearing my mask and expecting them to be masked, to help them stay afloat.

Would everyone please calm down and carry on, the best we can under these circumstances?

Ain’t that good at math, or English, but it’s going to be hard to get 14 straight days of declining numbers when we’re steadily climbing

There are 2,976,000 people in MS. There are 7,212 cases of Covid-19 and 281 deaths attributed to it with no clarifications as to it being the sole cause. As Spock said in the Wrath of Khan, "Logic clearly dictates that the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few. It's time to get back to living our lives.

So, 8:19, give us a number of how many people should die in MS before we lockdown? 1,000? 10,000? 100,000? You said "the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few" so at what point is the few too many?
To answer questions to me of when to lift the lockdown, it's when cases are trending down then things begin to gradually reopen but this only works if everyone takes measures to limit the spread.

8:58, almost everyone is with you. I certainly am. Facts matter.

"The Pew Research Center asked the question directly in a nearly 5,000-person survey conducted from April 7 to 12: Are you more worried about your state government lifting its restrictions on public activities too quickly or not quickly enough? By a 2-to-1 margin, Americans said that they were more worried about rapidly ramping down social distancing."

I generally don't get my philosophy from Sci Fi cartoonish shows, nor my religion from physicists.

And I certainly don't take medical advice from a President who says to inject disinfectant or his Wall Street son who fears "eternal lockdown" on his bank balance, as both get free testing every day.

I get it from Dr. Fauci, other epi doctors, and folks with doctorates and Master's in public health and public safety.

Reeves is doing the right thing. Dobbs has clearly rethought the "flattening" myth and realizes what is occurring.

No one supporting life over beach homes is holding you back from working in some manner. WalMart, Amazon, trucking firms, construction firms, etc are ALL hiring.

If you over extended yourself, don't have savings or capital reserves, don't take advantage of government assistance, well, I think Mr. Spock, your hero, would have a few things to say about that which you wouldn't like to hear, either.

Ok 9:44, you want a number? How about whatever God wants. That is a ridiculous question that cannot be answered. I imagine you want us hunkered down until we have no deaths at all. You never specified Covid, other deaths or a mix. People will die of Covid 19 over time regardless of segregation, masks, handwashing, etc. Vaccine(s) when available are no guarantee of complete immunity. Get a grip on yourself and realize you will die and you have absolutely no choice in the matter. I agree with 8:19 "the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few". It's a whole lot easier to control the infected people versus the whole state. Based on the latest numbers; Mississippi Total Cases 7,212 Total Deaths 281 we have less than 0.038% of the state population involved. Yes there are others out there that will test positive and are asymptomatic or subclinical. How many?, we will never know. Sure you are a whole lot safer than you imagine. My opinion only.

So, even in America's most metabolically-impaired state, the death rate for this virus is low. As with virtually all viruses, this one tends to sicken and kill those who are metabolically-impaired and immunocompromised. Mississippi leads the nation in obesity, overweight, and Diabetes - all states of metabolic impairment. Mississippi ties with Alabama, in National Third Place, where Excessive Alcohol Consumption is concerned. The state ranks fifth in its number of smokers.

Exercise is the best all-around booster of metabolic well-being. Yet the gyms are closed. Booze contributes hugely, to metabolic impairment AND immunosuppression. And yet liquor stores remain open (and doing a booming business). But despite all of this - despite Mississippi's seemingly offering conditions for "The Perfect Storm", where pandemics are concerned - the virus is not killing many people.

Anyone with a brain, quickly realized that the mass hysteria imposed upon us by media and official entities, was agenda-driven. We guessed, quickly, that goals included destabilization of the stock market (presenting buying opportunities for wealthy entities), peddling of a vaccine, and peddling of testing. That the money-grab would also include peddling of TRACKING, came as a surprise.

And, as Mississippians have proved (by NOT dropping-dead in the predicted numbers), none of this ridiculous overreaction to an unexceptional virus, was actually necessary. Government could have done absolutely nothing, and we would have done just as well.

10:13 - Whatever God wants? How about you cross the street whenever you want or ride on the hood of your vehicle next trip to town. If God wants you to live then you will cross safely or enjoy the breeze on the hood. If He wants you to die you will. According to you, whatever you do doesn't matter.

Matthew 4:7 "Thou shalt not tempt the Lord thy God".

You didn't give a number either.....

Of course the numbers are going to go up. We are now testing people who are NOT showing symptoms. Before we only tested people who had symptoms.

10:13. So what you are saying is that if God wants you dead of Covid you will die of Covid? True, but he has already deemed when and how you will rejoin him.
When we will die is not a matter of accident or chance; the Bible makes it clear that our lives are in God’s hands. He knows the time of our death, and He has even appointed it. The Bible says, “Man’s days are determined; you (God) have decreed the number of his months and have set limits he cannot exceed” (Job 14:5).
Does this mean we shouldn’t seek medical care when we are sick, or that it doesn’t matter if we do dangerous things because God will deliver us anyway? No, not at all; not one verse of Scripture would support such a view. Satan urged Jesus to cast Himself down from the top of the Temple and trust God to deliver Him—but Jesus refused to do such a foolhardy thing. He told Satan, “Do not put the Lord your God to the test” (Matthew 4:7).
Stop skewing the Bible to fit your needs.

Well-spoken, 2:55, and thank you for that.

Here are some more numbers, for you numbers crunchers: Of the 8 states with the fastest-growing rates of C-19 infections, 4 of them are states that never had a state-wide stay-at-home order. That's out of 7 states, total, without a stay-at-home order, and all 4 are rural states. I'm not a statistician, but I expect the odds of that being a coincidence are astronomical.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/healthcare/states-where-the-virus-is-growing-the-fastest-right-now/ss-BB13o9tJ?li=BBnb7Kz#image=51

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-stay-at-home-order.html

10:58 pm Your brain isn't that good.
If it were, you'd understand forecasting a bit better.
You'd be listening to the actual forecasters who have appeared on the news you don't watch, talk about how they forecast.
One of the things they had to do is deal with predicting social behaviors and they did that based on the only data they could use...education levels being one.
So, yes, they are the first to admit they over-predicted refusal in the South the follow guidelines.

But, you still are missing the point that this virus death isn't the only reason this virus is worse than " flu". It lasts longer ( more people out of work longer). You are contagious longer ( you can infect more people) and more are hospitalized ( raising medical costs and stressing capacity), this virus is causing bodily impairments that may or may not be permanent and it is a NEW cause of death. That last means, it reduces our population ( now 60+thousand...more than the Vietnam War in just a few months) and those dead won't be paying taxes or contributing to GDP.
The looney tunes who think they understand statistics without ever once studying it on an advance level are still missing that data gathering on this virus is early and hampered by inconsistent testing and reporting.
The ability to test has increased, but having enough equipment to test is lagging.
Most of you also don't seem to realize that a until there is a CONSISTENT drop in the number of cases for 14 days, we should not be reopening anything. That is the standard to go to phase one opening. That is the CDC and federal standard approved by the President many of you support. Though he's giving mixed messages, he has not changed that directive.

8:51, It's pretty obvious that you are a PAID SHILL for some entity which seeks to profit from this CREATED CRISIS. You're not a very good one. Whoever is paying you, even though it's surely a pittance, probably shouldn't be wasting their money. Your bullying tactics aren't very subtle. In fact, your style comes off as just-plain-PSYCHOPATHIC.

You aren't going to silence anybody, until you dial-it-back, just a bit. Maybe you should stand in front of a mirror (assuming you have access to a mirror), and practice belittling YOURSELF, instead of belittling Kingfish's readers.