Sunday, July 1, 2018

Bill Crawford: Will Tariffs & Special Election Cause November Surprise?

No surprises in the run-off elections last week with Michael Guest easily defeating Whit Hughes in the 3rd District Republican Primary run-off and David Baria coming back to defeat upstart Howard Sherman handily in the Senate Democratic Primary run-off.

Unless there are some surprises, Guest should cruise to victory and Baria should fall short in majority Republican Mississippi in November.

Oh, but could there be surprises?

The special election to fill the Senate seat relinquished by Thad Cochran could possibly yield surprises. If Chris McDaniel follows his 2014 blueprint, his challenge to newly appointed Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith will be down and dirty. Will that fight bring out GOP voters or hold down turnout? If polls show either candidate with a substantial lead, the other's voters could stay home. Meanwhile, challenger Mike Espy could attract a surge in Democratic voters. Should these two happen together, surprises could occur.

Don't bet on it, but surprises could happen if one or more Mississippi relevant issues erupt. One of those issues could be tariffs.

Last week newspaper publisher Wyatt Emmerich wrote eloquently about Trump tariffs costing newspaper jobs.

"In January, the Trump administration imposed a 30% import tariff on Canadian wood products, including newsprint," Emmerich wrote. "Prices have risen accordingly, costing my newspaper company $300,000 a year." As a result, Emmerich laid off 60 newspaper carriers and shifted delivery of his three daily newspapers to the U.S. Post Office.

"Fortunately for the survival of my company, we found an option," said Emmerich. "Thanks to a special postal regulation called Exceptional Dispatch, we will be able to use the U.S. Postal Service to get same day delivery of our three daily newspapers, saving a substantial amount of money and allowing us to leave our editorial staff intact."

Other newspapers have had to cut editorial staff along with other personnel, he said.

One editorial staff member recently laid off was long-time political reporter Bobby Harrison. Now writing for Mississippi Today, Harrison penned a story last week on the impact of Trump tariffs on agriculture in Mississippi, particularly soybeans.

"Earlier this month, the President announced $50 billion in tariffs on China," Harrison wrote. "China responded with similar tariffs, primarily on agriculture products. One of the primary agriculture products impacted by Chinese tariffs is soybeans, which is Mississippi's top exported product."

"Any trade war between the United States and China will hit hard Mississippi farmer and the Mississippi economy," he wrote after interviewing North Mississippi farmer Jerry Slocum.

In addition to farmers, Mississippi manufacturers are concerned about tariffs too. The Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal reported two major state manufacturing companies have spoken out against tariffs.

Cooper Tire joined with its industry association to vigorously oppose "the imposition of restrictions on our industry’s ability to import the high-quality steel wire rod needed to make tires in the U.S., as this vital tire component is not produced domestically."

Toyota Mississippi said, "The administration’s decision to impose substantial steel and aluminum tariffs will adversely impact automakers."

As tariffs spread to impact jobs and income in Mississippi, voters will likely take heed.

The potential for November election surprises is there. We'll have to wait and watch to see if that potential is realized.

Crawford (crawfolk@gmail.com) is a syndicated columnist from Meridian.

18 comments:

Anonymous said...

Mississippians remember how NAFTA decimated this state. Besides, the Democrat platform appears to consist of impeach Trump, open borders and hatrassment of conservatives. Mississippians will not elect a Democrat Senator.

Anonymous said...

It's not the role of government or the rest of us to keep the newspaper in business or its carriers employed. That's about equal to the argument that we should all continue shopping and dining in Jackson in order to keep the businesses there alive.

I do, though, understand that liberal concept...just as with democrat county supervisors who think the county runs an employment agency - cost savings to the taxpayer be-damned.

Anonymous said...

Soybeans are at a 9 year low all because of Trump's B.S., can we get someone who doesn't bite the hand that feeds you.

Hoodlum said...

Whether you like his policies or not, Trump is and will always be a New York yankee blow hard. It is difficult for a Southerner to fully support anything about him. But still much better than anybody named Clinton... ;))

Anonymous said...

12:32 I understand you plight. I also see farmers driving six figure pieces of machinery that you have to pay for. You can deride me all you want now. I am on auto steer and in a cold environment myself.

This One Is Free said...

12:32 - Were you around in 77 when a famous Democrat embargoed rice to the Middle East and decimated related businesses in the Mississippi and Arkansas Delta? Or were you still in indoctrination training?

As much as I hate to see Mississippi farmers suffer, it's not the role of a president to protect one industry at the expense of another. We need to reach an overall balance with trade, spreading it among all industries. That may be why it's called 'balance'.

Besides, pal, farmers won't go broke. The gubment has always subsidized them in hard times.

Anonymous said...

11:31am, I believe you are right in saying”Mississippians will not elect a Democrat Senator”, more especially the female one that Phil appointed. Oh! But she has changed parties after voting for Obama twice. Yeah! Right!

Anonymous said...

It's not just the soybeans, Nissan has a glut of cars to sell already and higher steel prices are not good for a stuggling company.

Anonymous said...

Just wait until November is what Trump says now on NAFTA, just exactly what I taught, the Democrats are going to be in charge and he is going to give the socialist progressive Democrats just what they want.

Anonymous said...

Down deep Red Mississippians hate:

Abortion
Gays
And civil rights which helped blacks

Soybeans could become worthless and Nissans could cost $250,000 each and died in the wool Rs in MS will never vote for a Democrat.

Odd too because lots have gay uncles. Lesbian aunts, black girlfriends....some even had abortions.

But...they’d never acknowledge any of it......ignorance is too easy.

Anonymous said...

I cant figger sum of yall--for the last 50+ years the US has been on a highway to hell courtesy the GREAT SOCIETY-LBJ and Democrats/media/Hollywood and socialist sycophants !! NOW we have a guy w common sense who is trying to right sum of these wrongs and the SECOND ur ox gets gored u scream to high heaven--c'mon guys we're ALL gonna share in the pain for the long term gain--all this trade hysteria is just posturing and will all work out MUCH better than u think!!

Anonymous said...

4:27 pm

That’s right!

We should give him all the power to do whatever he wants....better than murderous Hillary killing our kids.

I say we abolish the courts and make trump king.

Anonymous said...

4:13
Down deep Red Mississippians do hate abortion.
Hate the sin of the gays, not the sinner.
And, fought for the rights of blacks while the Mississippi Democrat Party did anything and everything they could to keep the Black people down and in their pocket.
Bless your heart, you need to learn some history, Son.

Anonymous said...

Oh, y’all just wait until those tariffs affect revenues and quarterly earnings in addition to rate hikes in the stock market. Money talks and bullsh*t walks. When Annabelle can’t get the the new iPhone or Samsung because it costs $2,000.00 sh*t will get real, real fast.

And little Annabelle will remember this moment and forever hate the Republican Party. Little Annabelle will secretly vote for a democrat when she grows up. That’s what little Annabelle will do. Annabelle has an army she’s bringing with her called her generation.

Anonymous said...

@ 9:23am

"And, fought for the rights of blacks while the Mississippi Democrat Party did anything and everything they could to keep the Black people down and in their pocket........Bless your heart, you need to learn some history, Son."

Perhaps you need to do a little more research yourself. You do know that the only reason why blacks joined the Democratic Party, because of the MSDEM controlling the legislature. When blacks started joining the party, the very same Dixiecrats high-tailed it over to the Mississippi GOP - voted overwhelmingly for Goldwater opposed to Johnson (a Democrat) passing the civil rights bill.

The Dixiecrat platform of 1964, is no different than the Republican platform of 2018.

So trying to sell the current Democratic party as the Dixiecrat party prior to the civil rights movement is a false narrative and completely naive.

Anonymous said...

If you really want to understand current economic policy, you have to read the economist whose theory is influencing it, the late James McGill Buchanan.

His theory began to have influence and the University of Chicago and the University of Virginia. He became a Nobel laureate because of his influence on the economic policies of Thatcher, in particular.

He's dead, but his economic disciples continue to influence policy primarily because those we elect don't understand economics .

Anonymous said...

The delta:
Where "rich" welfare divide themselves via railroad tracks from "poor" welfare.

Anonymous said...

To the failed philosopher @ 5:17....every Mississippi town that saw the Iron Horse was at one time divided by a railroad track as class determinant.

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Trollfest '07 was such a success that Jackson Jambalaya will once again host Trollfest '09. Catch this great event which will leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Othor Cain and his band, The Black Power Structure headline the night while Sonjay Poontang returns for an encore performance. Former Frank Melton bodyguard Marcus Wright makes his premier appearance at Trollfest singing "I'm a Sweet Transvestite" from "The Rocky Horror Picture Show." Kamikaze will sing his new hit, “How I sold out to da Man.” Robbie Bell again performs: “Mamas, don't let your babies grow up to be Bells” and “Any friend of Ed Peters is a friend of mine”. After the show, Ms. Bell will autograph copies of her mug shot photos. In a salute to “Dancing with the Stars”, Ms. Bell and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Smith will dance the Wango Tango.

Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything).


Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.

Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".

In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up.


In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.

Trollfest '09 is a pet-friendly event as well. Feel free to bring your dog with you and do not worry if your pet gets hungry, as employees of the Jackson Zoo will be on hand to provide some of their animals as food when it gets to be feeding time for your little loved one.

Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.


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Trollfest '07

Jackson Jambalaya is the home of Trollfest '07. Catch this great event which promises to leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Sonjay Poontang and his band headline the night with a special steel cage, no time limit "loser must leave town" bout between Alan Lange and "Big Cat"Donna Ladd following afterwards. Kamikaze will perform his new song F*** Bush, he's still a _____. Did I mention there was no referee? Dr. Heddy Matthias and Lori Gregory will face off in the undercard dueling with dangling participles and other um, devices. Robbie Bell will perform Her two latest songs: My Best Friends are in the Media and Mama's, Don't Let Your Babies Grow up to be George Bell. Sid Salter of The Clarion-Ledger will host "Pin the Tail on the Trial Lawyer", sponsored by State Farm.

There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.

If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.

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