Jackson Jambalaya

mortality rate today...2.5% it will continue to decrease substantially

The COVID deaths have increased by almost 50% in just the last month. The 7-day average has climbed from around 10 to 15 since the middle of October. Given the hospitalization rate is now approaching the high point we saw back in July it is not unreasonable to expect deaths to double again and match the rate we saw at the July peak.

Thanksgiving and Christmas are going to make the July 4th surge seem like a walk in the park. People can't be patient for just a few more months until the vaccine can be rolled out to the general public. Too many stories about families who have gathered in groups of 10-20 and had almost everyone infected. Get ready for the bloodbath.

Also interesting to note is the deaths in the past month have been only 24% in long-term care facilities. The virus is spreading among the general population much more than in the past and more regular people are dying.

Well said @ 12:01 PM...people are not being patient or complying to simple mask wearing request. I have traveled to three counties just today with mask mandates to witness very little compliance.

It's unfortunate that the virus doesn't understand or care that it must stay within the county boundaries of the Governor's mask mandates.

Fear is a wonderful thing and how it controls people. Most folks do not even know how to handle it. Learned that in my younger years real quickly. Learn to control yours folks. We may have real problems ahead and it is not going to be Covid.

But 99.9999999999999999% survival rate, who cares?!

Where do people come up with the 99.9% survival rate? I'm just a public school grad who works with my hands, but I can divide 3,676 deaths by 143,879 cases and see that it is a 2.55% death rate. I can also divide 987 deaths in the 70-79 age range by the 9,718 cases in that age range and see a 10.16% death rate. It is honestly profound to me that people keep repeating the 99.9% number. I hear it everywhere... church, internet, work (I assume @1:17 is being sarcastic). The actual information is published everyday, and it is no secret.

welp. according to my news, it’s an overblown hoax. what you are reporting seems like it’s some sort of an alternate reality where doctors and scientists are right about the virus and that we should listen to them.

not me! i don’t live in fear with some mouth diaper on. why is the lamestream media still talking about this? it’s not on any of my facebook or parler feeds anymore so it’s not real.

@1:17 - if lying to yourself about the severity makes your life more bearable, then keep doing it. There is no point in subjecting yourself to something scary that you can’t handle. Stay in your safe place and if you get sick or die, at least you went out on your own terms!

Nice job Kingfish for allowing the far left to take over your board. You approve everything that happens on this board so this is intentional on your part.

I have traveled to three counties just today with mask mandates to witness very little compliance.

So, therefore, a statewide mandate feels good but is effectively meaningless.

Next.

Care to elaborate on which conspiracy theory you’re referring to @1:12pm?

@1:53 You are only using the test-confirmed positive cases as your denominator. There are many, many people who have had COVID that never got tested. At one point based on random testing it was estimated the actual number of people who had COVID was ten times the positive test rate. With expanded testing that ratio has certainly come down some, but it is still high.

Best estimates I've seen are at covid19-projections.com which estimates about 725,000 Mississippians have contracted the disease so far. That equates to a 99.5% survival rate. Of course that still means 1 out of every 200 people that get it will die which is much higher than even a bad flu year.

@4:21 that's vague and non-information. We can only use the information that we have. Yes, it may be understated, but we can't make up pretend numbers either. "At one point it was estimated... was ten times the positive test rate." No reference. I guess I have to take your word for it. Since I'm taking your word for it, please explain the investigator's methodology, data set, testing system, geographic setting, government measures in effect at that time, age group of participants, etc, etc. Even so, there is no reason to believe that study held true in all places and at all times since then. You cannot generalize based on one study. One study is an anecdote.

I will say it again, you can't fix stupid.

Wait until Biden hires Dominion to count cases. We'll have 115% of the population as positive and then people will start dying twice!

and masks don't work.

@4:21 At least you are admitting your rate is too high even if you can't quantify what it actually is. That's the problem with extremists. On the one hand you got some saying "the survival rate is 99.999999% with no basis in fact and on the other hand you've got panic-spreaders who use deliberately misleading figures to instill needless fear in the population. Both make the claimant's credibility look very poor when the truth turns out to be drastically different.

You must take into account the number of people who got the virus but never got tested while they were infected. Can you get perfect accuracy? Of course not, but you can still get close enough to make educated decisions.

Here's what the CDC says for the best estimate of the total infection death rate back in September which is the latest that I can find.

0-19 years: 0.003% (99.997% survival)
20-49 years: 0.02% (99.98% survival)
50-69 years: 0.5% (99.5% survival)
70+ years: 5.4% (94.6% survival)

Keep it up guys. New numbers today. Hospitalizations have climbed from 560 on November 4 to 946 yesterday, a 70% increase in less than three weeks. ICU use has gone from 161 to 224 in the same time. 7-day death average went above 15 last Monday when it was down below 10 in mid-October. It will go up even more as those that are in the hospital die and their deaths get added to the tally.

This is not a joke no matter how much some of you may want to pass it off as nothing more than the flu. You might not get sick, but you are certainly helping spread the virus where it will infect someone older or not as healthy and they will suffer the consequences of your selfishness.