Dilbert creator Scott Adams has been analyzing Trump's march to the Republican nomination. He defies conventional wisdom and argues on his blog that Trump is a genius at work:
Now let’s talk about Trump’s sky-high unfavorability rating that hovers around 70%. Trump haters use that figure as their last hope. No one can get elected with such high negatives, they say.
That is cognitive dissonance. And it is one of the cleanest examples you will ever see. I’ll tell you why.
Literally everything about Trump’s campaign has violated form. He has no government experience, he isn’t polite, he hasn’t mastered the policy details, he isn’t taking money from big donors, and on and on. Yet he is poised to take the Republican nomination.
So none of the old rules apply to Trump. He has approached the election as a persuader, not a traditional politician.
No traditional politician could overcome a 70% unfavorability rating at this stage of the election cycle. But Trump isn’t a traditional politician. He’s a persuader.
Keep in mind that Clinton’s unfavorability is also high, at around 56%. That’s a 14 point difference from Trump. Can a Master Persuader close a 14-point gap before November?
I would rate that task as “easy.”
No one else in politics could close that kind of gap. But Trump has special tools and a willingness to use them. This challenge is almost exactly what Trump does well – change minds.
Let me list a few ways Trump could win despite high unfavorables.
1. Trump could make Clinton’s unfavorable ratings worse, which will be easy once Trump concentrates on her in the general election.
2. Trump could improve his own favorability by being more “presidential” for a few months so he doesn’t look so crazy.
3. Trump can sell the “two Trumps” story (while simultaneously denying it) until you start recognizing his campaign behavior as strategy, not insanity. That sale is underway now.....
8. Trump has already improved his haircut. The color is no longer orange and the cut is much better. Humans are visual creatures, and that old haircut probably accounted for about 10 points of his 70% unfavorable rating. The new look is probably already having a small effect....
10. The Syrian refugee crisis could spawn more terror attacks in Europe, or more rape stories. That seems likely. A few days ago, Germany’s chancellor, Merkel, came out in favor of refugee “safe zones” in Syria. That was Trump’s idea months ago. Everyone scoffed. Watch as Trump’s “crazy talk” from months ago turns into policy before your eyes....
13. As long as Cruz and Kasich are in the race, our minds allow us to imagine an alternative to Trump that is some sort of magical unicorn of goodness. Our brains are conflating all the non-Trump Republicans (including Romney and Ryan) into some sort of imaginary “other” that has qualities we like. Likewise, on the Democrat side, your brain is combining Clinton and Sanders as one conflated Democrat option. And Bernie brings some good qualities to that imaginary creature (such as the appearance of honesty).
Your brain has not yet compared Trump (alone) to Clinton (alone). You have only compared conflated concepts of a Clinton/Sanders creature to a Trump/Cruz/Kasich/Romney/Ryan creature. You think that isn’t happening in YOUR head, but it is. That’s how all of us are wired. We don’t compartmentalize as well as we think.
When the race gets down to a clean Trump versus Clinton contest, and people realize there are no other options, the comparison changes. Trump wins the matchup against “crooked Hillary” with ease, based on skill, not policies. You haven’t even imagined that contest yet. Your brain won’t let you....
You’re already hearing the word “landslide” applied to the upcoming Republican primaries. By October you will hear that Trump is “running unopposed” for all practical purposes.... Rest of blog post.
Friday, April 29, 2016
The real Dilbert speaks on Trump
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Trollfest '09
Trollfest '07 was such a success that Jackson Jambalaya will once again host Trollfest '09. Catch this great event which will leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Othor Cain and his band, The Black Power Structure headline the night while Sonjay Poontang returns for an encore performance. Former Frank Melton bodyguard Marcus Wright makes his premier appearance at Trollfest singing "I'm a Sweet Transvestite" from "The Rocky Horror Picture Show." Kamikaze will sing his new hit, “How I sold out to da Man.” Robbie Bell again performs: “Mamas, don't let your babies grow up to be Bells” and “Any friend of Ed Peters is a friend of mine”. After the show, Ms. Bell will autograph copies of her mug shot photos. In a salute to “Dancing with the Stars”, Ms. Bell and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Smith will dance the Wango Tango.
Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything).
Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.
Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".
In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up.
In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.
Trollfest '09 is a pet-friendly event as well. Feel free to bring your dog with you and do not worry if your pet gets hungry, as employees of the Jackson Zoo will be on hand to provide some of their animals as food when it gets to be feeding time for your little loved one.
Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!
This is definitely a Beaver production.
Note: Security provided by INS.
Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything).
Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.
Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".
In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up.
In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.
Trollfest '09 is a pet-friendly event as well. Feel free to bring your dog with you and do not worry if your pet gets hungry, as employees of the Jackson Zoo will be on hand to provide some of their animals as food when it gets to be feeding time for your little loved one.
Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!
This is definitely a Beaver production.
Note: Security provided by INS.
Trollfest '07
Jackson Jambalaya is the home of Trollfest '07. Catch this great event which promises to leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Sonjay Poontang and his band headline the night with a special steel cage, no time limit "loser must leave town" bout between Alan Lange and "Big Cat"Donna Ladd following afterwards. Kamikaze will perform his new song F*** Bush, he's still a _____. Did I mention there was no referee? Dr. Heddy Matthias and Lori Gregory will face off in the undercard dueling with dangling participles and other um, devices. Robbie Bell will perform Her two latest songs: My Best Friends are in the Media and Mama's, Don't Let Your Babies Grow up to be George Bell. Sid Salter of The Clarion-Ledger will host "Pin the Tail on the Trial Lawyer", sponsored by State Farm.
There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.
If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!
This is definitely a Beaver production.
Note: Security provided by INS.
There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.
If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!
This is definitely a Beaver production.
Note: Security provided by INS.
22 comments:
Just imagine what a Trump/Sanders ticket would be like.
If the legal system in the U.S. is worth a damn Hillary will be in jail or disqualified.
Gosh darn. Didn't realize it was so simple that a comic strip creator could figure it out.
Might as well call off the rest of the primaries and the general election. This is so clearly absolutely the answer.
Be like Trump. Ignore the fact that 70% of the people don't like him, don't trust him, and realize that he has not stated one single thing that he believes in or stands for.
But then again, this good analysis comes to you courtesy of a comic strip creator/blogger and a blogger.
Is this thread the best ya got for a Friday? Shit, God help us on Saturday!
Scott apparently wasn't a psychology major or else he wouldn't misuse the term cognitive dissonance. So, forgive me if I have a hard time thinking his predictions of human behavior will be accurate.
Trump's appeal is to those who are angry and feel either personally or financially threatened and are relatively ignorant and who are ignorant enough about how government functions to believe the big lies Trump sells. Sensationalist journalism plays a big role in generating fear and anger.
There are no conflicting beliefs within a single voter, but rather disagreement at how who can solve problems facing us, what those problems are ( seeing a transgender in a bathroom when I've never seen one other than in NOLA on Bourbon St or in the media doesn't seem like a realistic problem warranting legal action to me...no conflict there), and how to best go about solving those problems ( Trump can't just fire people to fix it or bully others into doing what he wants done. He's not paying their salaries and can't sue them).
Can Trump win? There are a few scenarios where that could happen. Sanders people could stay home. Clinton could screw up badly or have something new thrown at her that has some credibility. But, then Republicans could stay at home as well.
But, he is not likely to overcome his negatives with women or with Hispanics or with those who simply think he's " that guy" ( the one who says " Have I got a deal for you!" but the deal is for him). And, those who really ,really dislike him will turn out to vote against him.
And, then there's the money. Trump has gotten a free ride on trashing others. He has brilliantly used the media. The Democrats have been able to keep their cash for the general election. The big GOP PAC money ( Koch for one) is not going to be with Trump.
It's a sad state of affairs when we have to choose a President between those we hate the least. As for me, I'll pick the one I hate because of his own words and actions I've actually witnessed rather than based on years of political attacks suggesting wrong doing that have , to this day, despite even Congressional investigations and the GOP in charge of the Justice Dept., gone nowhere. And, while I wouldn't choose Clinton for a friend, I know she's smart and experienced . She has actually seen our military at work in real time and knows what they can and can't do. She knows the difference between a Sunni and a Shia. But, even more important to me, her supporters, unlike Trump's, aren't threatening a Jewish reporter who wrote of Trump's wife's early history by threatening to put her in an oven or have her wear a yellow Star of David!
Wow.....7:48......hope you got paid by the word for that epistle.
I wouldn't vote for Dirty Hillary if her opponent was Mr. Decomposing Skunk. In that event, the skunk would get my vote.
Why is it that people always try to convince others that anyone who does not agree with them are ignorant? That is one of the reasons people are for Trump. All of the others keep telling people how ignorant they are.
Did it feel good @7:48?
Wow. It appears Oscar got out of his garbage can and learned how to use a computer. The analysis of the presidential race tends to sound alike after awhile so I thought I would post something a little bit different. Mr. Adams's theories will sound brilliant to some readers and garbage to others. A shame a couple of readers couldn't handle it.
Adams writes well, and does a good comic strip. The trouble with the strip is its unrelenting cynicism. Funny at first, but ultimately depressing. His arguments here are even more cynical, because his premise is that a majority of citizens who vote will be tricked by the snake oil salesman. If he wrote it as a kind of parody, that would be even worse.
I'm too lazy to look it up, but Andy Griffith starred in a movie in the 50s that was equally cynical about the manipulation of voters in a presidential election. Maybe it will show up on TV this summer and fall. "A Face in the Crowd"?
Sorry. "A Face in the Crowd" is about the rise to fame of a television pitch man. It does focus on how people can be manipulated by a famous media figure.
Yes I felt better after commenting on a piece that's clearly pro-Trump. Trump in no Goldwater. He's a loose cannon that doesn't know jack about running government.
And, I don't mind the Oscar analogy as I'm pretty sure there's garbage that Oscar would toss out of his can as well.
If the Democrats had a candidate who even knew what the most important problems facing the country are Trump would not have a chance. But they don't. The truck driver who ran for governor last year would be a better candidate.
Geaux Trump! TRUMP 2016!!!
I am really going to enjoy seeing Hillary squirm when Trump starts telling people about some of her deals.
Or when Trump starts to squirm when Hillary starts telling people about some of his deals.
Its going to be the worst case election our country has seen in a century. Only person that has a higher negative rating than Hillary is Trump. Nobody likes either of these clowns that consider themselves worthy of being President. But after what we have had for the past 8 years, guess they figure nobody can do much worse.
11:22, the difference will be that everyone knows everything Trump has ever done. He hasn't tried to hide much. Hillary has many skeletons in her closet she has been trying to hide. Trump will remind everyone what she is hiding and why. Bill will be hiding under the bed, not Hillary's bed either.
Its going to be the worst case election our country has seen in a century.
Name the 2nd worse in the last 100 years.
Bill will be hiding under the bed, not Hillary's bed either.
That's funny.......
Mr. Trump has emerged when the time is ripe for such an anarchist, such a lord of misrule: when the tide of voters' frustration is at the full. I think he will win. Sen. Clinton is simply too unattractive to too many people, and her awkward efforts to seem likeable fall flat with everyone except those who "liked" her to begin with. For the latter camp, she can do no wrong, of course. So, an interesting contest is in store.
Writers often invent characters' names to be emblematic of their traits. "Trump" is a cognate of the French *tromper* (to deceive). And yet, I think he's the candidate who has been most candid; it's Sen. Clinton, who, I fear, has the most to dread from a sharp, relentless inquiry into her doings. "Hil(l)arious," it will be. Let the show begin!
Sen. Clinton is simply too unattractive to too many people...
Yep.......butt ugly.
I was not referring to her physical unattractiveness, 5:51.
Everyone already knows how crooked both Clintons are. No one really cares. It is a party thing. If you belong to their party you will make excuses for anything they do. It doesn't matter if it is legal or not. Doesn't matter if it is the cause of people loosing their lives.
One good thing. The republican party is the same way.
The American people deserve the politicians they elect. Meanwhile the quality of life in the U.S. is headed down. But don't worry. The politicians will take care of themselves, their family, and certain friends. Too bad you will be one of those paying for it.
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