Tuesday, August 4, 2015

Predictions

Results will soon start pouring in so get ready to have some fun.  Who do I think will win the contested races?

Treasurer: Fitch over McRae by 10 despite being outspent.  It is a race no one cares about.  The criticisms about Fitch are not ones that resonate with voters.  McRae didn't have a strong resume but had the ability to finance his own race. 

Auditor: Stacey by 30.  He has received a great deal of bad press lately. However, he also put together a campaign and raised a substantial amount of money.  This site has endorsed Mayor Mary Hawkins-Butler in the past but tonight won't be her night.  She raised little money, had a small, almost non-existent media campaign, and doesn't have the resources to mount a good election day operation and ground game.

Insurance Commissioner Chaney by 25, if not more.  Moseley started late, spent some money, but Chaney is hungry and wants to crush him.  This is not an incumbent taking his opponent lightly.

State Senate #25: Longwitz 60-40.  Billingsley raised more than enough money to get his message out but Longwitz nearly doubled his war chest.  Incumbency has its advantages.  Although Longwitz has been accused of grandstanding, it has been good grandstanding in that it is usually oriented towards his constituents.  Billingsley has worked his ass off but they are too close on the issues.  The usual criticisms against Longwitz are made by politicos and their gripes are usually ones that are lost on the regular voters.

State House #58: Bomgar over Bartley, 58-42.  Bomgar has raised a large amount of money and used it as well.  Bartley didn't even raise $25,000 according to the July 9 campaign finance report.  Bartley has not given people a reason to vote for him while attacking Bomgar.  Usually a strategy for failure in a sophisticated district.

Public Service Commission GOP Primary: Tossup.  Greer might lose some of his Clinton base to cross-over voting in the Democratic Primary.

Hinds County District Attorney: Smith over Alexander: 52-48.  Numbers of Republicans crossed over into the Dem primary today.  That is good for Stanley.  However, Robert has raised more money, has a dirty pac bombing the mailboxes and radio waves, and it might be enough to hold off Alexander.

Hinds County Sheriff: Sheriff will win over Mason by at least 60-40.  He has raised well over $100,000. Aaron Banks is managing his campaign.  He has taken a great deal of negative and critical press over the last few months but he has been working hard and campaigning as if his life depended on it.  Victor Mason has raised little money and ran a weak campaign.  Mac could have spent the last two years raising money for him but didn't endorse him until a few weeks ago.

Hinds County District #2: Darrell McQuirter will easily beat David Archie and Al Hunter.  No runoff. McQuirter gets at last 55% of the vote. 

State House #70: Begley and Sykes in the runoff. 

Hinds County District #1: Graham avoids runoff.

Hinds County District #3: Peggy avoids runoff. Beats the Frocked One by at least 15 points.

Hinds County Circuit Clerk: Zach and Vikki make a runoff although Zach Wallace might slightly win outright.

Madison County Prosecuting Attorney: Hancock over Phillips

Madison County Supervisor District #1: Sheila over John Bell Crosby.

Madison County Supervisor District #2: Howland over Baxter.  Its gotten dirty but machines usually win for a reason.

Madison County District #3: Steen over Ford.  Experienced politician over newcomer.  Has her beat on organization, fund-raising, and experience at campaigning. Knows his district. This was a tough one.

Madison County Constable: Harbor over Shack.

Justice Court Judge: Weisenberger and  Blaine or Kelly Williams in the runoff.

Madison County Circuit Clerk: Pantin and Wray make a runoff.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

McRae/Fitch?

Anonymous said...

Every DEM who voted for Tim Johnson is a racist.

Anonymous said...

Early Hinds SD#25 results have Longwitz @ 74% of the vote.

Anonymous said...

Fitch 55%
Silver Spoon 45%

Anonymous said...

Fitch 57%
Vote for me because I'm an Eagle Scout and my great granddaddy started a department store 43%

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Trollfest '09

Trollfest '07 was such a success that Jackson Jambalaya will once again host Trollfest '09. Catch this great event which will leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Othor Cain and his band, The Black Power Structure headline the night while Sonjay Poontang returns for an encore performance. Former Frank Melton bodyguard Marcus Wright makes his premier appearance at Trollfest singing "I'm a Sweet Transvestite" from "The Rocky Horror Picture Show." Kamikaze will sing his new hit, “How I sold out to da Man.” Robbie Bell again performs: “Mamas, don't let your babies grow up to be Bells” and “Any friend of Ed Peters is a friend of mine”. After the show, Ms. Bell will autograph copies of her mug shot photos. In a salute to “Dancing with the Stars”, Ms. Bell and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Smith will dance the Wango Tango.

Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything).


Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.

Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".

In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up.


In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.

Trollfest '09 is a pet-friendly event as well. Feel free to bring your dog with you and do not worry if your pet gets hungry, as employees of the Jackson Zoo will be on hand to provide some of their animals as food when it gets to be feeding time for your little loved one.

Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.


Note: Security provided by INS.

Trollfest '07

Jackson Jambalaya is the home of Trollfest '07. Catch this great event which promises to leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Sonjay Poontang and his band headline the night with a special steel cage, no time limit "loser must leave town" bout between Alan Lange and "Big Cat"Donna Ladd following afterwards. Kamikaze will perform his new song F*** Bush, he's still a _____. Did I mention there was no referee? Dr. Heddy Matthias and Lori Gregory will face off in the undercard dueling with dangling participles and other um, devices. Robbie Bell will perform Her two latest songs: My Best Friends are in the Media and Mama's, Don't Let Your Babies Grow up to be George Bell. Sid Salter of The Clarion-Ledger will host "Pin the Tail on the Trial Lawyer", sponsored by State Farm.

There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.

If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.

Note: Security provided by INS
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