Tuesday, August 4, 2015

Place your bets.



Tomorrow night is the big night.  Make your predictions here. 

85 comments:

Anonymous said...

Mason defeats Lewis with the help of the GOP , Alexander edge Smith. Steen survives and Howland is the only one of MCS that fall.

Just My Guess said...

Hawkeye-Butler garners twelve percent of the vote, Steen survives, Howland bites the dust, Pickle-Boy goes to the house in Madison and is hired by Rudy to monitor water levels, Chaney wins handedly, Billingsly celebrates, Tyromes brings home the bacon with his promises kept slogan, Shuler-Smith's last minute MLK photos saves his ass, and Kingfish heads to Disney World with 100k in ad money.

Anonymous said...

Let's see if anyone wants to take these over/under..

Bryant % - 85
Reeves % - 75
Fitch % - 55
Pickering % - 65
Hawkins-Butler counties won (out of 82) - 15

Anonymous said...

Sorry Dr. Smith. Got your call and your son have proven to not be cut out for the job. Is he still living at home with you and his mom?

Anonymous said...

Billingsly upsets lomgwitz. Smith narrowly defeats Alexander.

Anonymous said...

Prediction....Hinds makes better decisions than Madison despite fewer decent candidates.

KaptKangaroo said...

Pammi Hancock is a solid focused attorney who knows what needs to be fixed in Madison at the County level. WIN

Mayor Mary Hawkins Butler is a harbinger of what is right with Mississippi. Corruption will be on notice. BIG WIN

Stanley Alexander is a better alternative. EVEN RACE - WIN

Will and Bill - I admire both of them. The communities they seek to represent will be served well, regardless. WIN EITHER WAY

A little known up and coming young man is Zach Wallace in Hinds County. He has been dedicated to the community he serves for years already, his leadership will change the pace. BIG BIG WIN - we have someone who actually cares running the clerk's office.

Anonymous said...

Hinds....Graham, McQuirter, Calhoon, Morgan, Stringfellow, Tyrone and Shuler Smith, in August and November.

Bomgar wins against the future post office maniac, but it's closer than it should have been.

Longwitz holds on

Mary will be lucky to win Madison County, and will go home to protect Madisonites against the rampant gang violence surrounding Mecca.

Anonymous said...

All statewide incumbents re-elected.

All of the Madison Supervisors survive. Steen and Crosby escape narrowly while Howland wins handily.

Longwitz sails to reelection by a 20 point margin.

Bomgar dispatches with Bartley by at least 15.

Pantin and Hodges go to a runoff for clerk, Pantin wins.



Anonymous said...

Longwitz wins
Baxter wins but close
Jones wins
Steen wins
Wray and Pantin in runoff
Hancock wins
Ingram and Weisenberger in runoff
Chaney
Greer

Anonymous said...

You can "Call Tyrone" come Wednesday.

Anonymous said...

The big unknown in the auditor race is the Coast vote, a lot of folks down there are still upset over Pickering's handling of the DMR situation. Add that with the recent developments and Mayor Mary could win a good number of votes there.

Anonymous said...

McRae beats Fitch handly
Chaney wins, but a lot closer than expected
Hawkins-Butler pulls off an upset
Steen is the only supervisor to win re-election due to his strong support in Ridgeland
Longwitz wins by a huge margin
Pantin and Hodges go to run off, Pantin wins huge in run off
Harbor wins huge against Shackelford for Constable
Bartley beats Bomgar by 50 votes or less

Slater and Johnson both win the D primary for Gov and Lt. Gov, only to be embarrassed in November by Phil and Tate

Anonymous said...

Wallace Circuit
Tyron and Victor run off
Smith edges Alexander
Pickering survives but close
Fitch back in by five or greater
Cotton and Sam run off.. Sam barely getting in

Gimmy Da Greek said...

Pammi Hancock is a solid focused attorney who knows what needs to be fixed in Madison at the County level.

Ah....except people in this job have nothing to do with 'fixing' anything.

'Pride in Perfection' gets sent back to the body shop.

Butler-Peacock-Hawkins almost takes Madison County.

Tyrone gets four more years to hire a decent locksmith.

Anonymous said...

Shelia Jones in.
Steen in.
McRae in.
Pickering in.
Harbour in.
Pantin in.
Billingsly in.
Hancock in.

Not how I am voting, but what I think will happen.

Anonymous said...

The game changer endorsement of Bill Billinglsy by Anna Fiser Stephens will help him greatly at Willie Morris precinct.

Anonymous said...

Bill B gets to return to the horseys kitty's and doggies at the farm.

Anonymous said...

Mary doesn't win a single county, including madison.

Longwitz wins but why?

T-Bone over Mason.

Alexander beats Shuler-Smith

Wallace and Mumford in runoff.

Anonymous said...

Townsend wins. I've been hearing lots of public Morrison supporters were strongly encouraged to put his signs up for fear of retribution.

Teachers don't play. And they're sick and tired of what's been happening in rcsd.

Anonymous said...

Hancock is in but her Dr. Sends her out West before starting to work to hike and get some exercise.

Anonymous said...

Longwitz wins by at least 10%
"Clean sweep" not 100% successful, probably 2/3 win
Wray and Pantin in runoff
Hancock definite to win
Ingram and Weisenberger in runoff

Anonymous said...

Morrison wins. I've been hearing lots of public comments about Townsend supporters threatening and intimidating voters. Teachers don't play. They know Townsend is not qualified.

Anonymous said...

After seeing the latest paid advertisement on JJ from Will Longwitz, I, a citizen too disgusted with modern politics to want to vote, decided to go vote for Bill Billingsly because anyone running for office that thinks an advertisement such as that is even remotely OK, neither deserves the public trust or is likely to care about the public trust.

Anonymous said...

Ms. Anna Fiser Stephens inadvertently causes a surge in voting at Spann Elementary School, leading voter participation there to reach 97% of eligible voters, an all time high.

$ Just Saying said...

Lewis wins
Shuler_Smith wins
Eddie Fair wins
Carr wins
Zack Wallace wins

Mary{we have spent all the money my husband helped steal} Butler loses by a big margin
Mosley loses big
Greer. Loses to Bailey

Calhoun,Graham,McQuirter win
Vern Gavin wins Democrat in 4

Anonymous said...

"After seeing the latest paid advertisement on JJ from Will Longwitz, I, a citizen too disgusted with modern politics to want to vote, decided to go vote for Bill Billingsly because anyone running for office that thinks an advertisement such as that is even remotely OK, neither deserves the public trust or is likely to care about the public trust. "

So, the woman who brought you all those Oxford Houses endorses Billingsley?

Truth hurts?

I despise Longwitz but this fact clinches my vote for him. Billingsley is just too out of touch with normal voters for the job.

Anonymous said...

9:15: If you actually owned a house near a group home instead of in the insulated burbs, you'd understand what is at stake to the neighbors.

Anonymous said...

Mary shocks the world and wins and immediately announces her resignation as mayor to focus on her campaign. In another shocker, Tim Johnson is appointed interim mayor of Madison and immediately announces a $100 million engineering study to support building a $1.5 billion stadium with a retractable roof on the Galleria Parkway. Plan is for JSU to play sports there and at the same time court the New England Patriots, New York Mets, Miami Heat, Sugar Bowl, and Dixie National Rodeo to relocate to Madison, using our new airport for additional leverage.

Anonymous said...

Mary wins Desoto, Madison, Warren, the coast counties along with a few rural ones and upsets Pickering 51%-49% on the strength of Republican women voters. She also wins 2 of the southern county supervisor races, but one of the 3 incumbents win and then subsequently will cut a deal with the 2 northern Madison County supervisors and Rudi remains in power, or at least till the new auditor catches up with him.

Longwizt wins handily. And Bomgar loses in a close race, and blames it on Democrats and Thad Cochran supporters before filing a lawsuit over the election.

Anonymous said...

Mississippi is devoid of leadership and no potential leaders want to participate. The entire state government structure is bloated, expensive, wasteful, and loaded with ignorant, pompous gladhanders. It is really bad. And I'll bet Rankin Co. will elect another nepotist to head what should be one of the best school systems in the state but which can't keep up with Clinton or Madison Co. But Robert Morse provided us with one of television's best moments in recent years, didn't he?

Anonymous said...

I would NEVER vote for the candidate endorsed by Anna Fiser Stephens. She deliberately and knowingly destroyed her neighbor's home values. Bill BIllingsley says we should all just shut up and take it. How much money have people lost as a result of that selfish woman's actions?

I have already voted for Will Longwitz.

Anonymous said...

Bryant 90%
Reeves 85^
Chaney 62%
Fitch - 70%
Bomgar 51%
Longwitz 62%
Hancock/Phillips Runoff
Pickering wins but is arrested before November
Baxter Win
Ford Win
Steen Win
Hodges forces run-off by opponents
Harbor Win

HINDS
Lewis 53%
Alexander 51%
Carr 85%
Wallace 52%
Calhoun - Big
McQuirter - Big
Graham - Big but not because of being popular
Begley - Win
Longwitz - Win
Fair could be upset because Bracey is first on ballot



Anonymous said...

WINS

Fitch
Bomgar
Sheila Jones
Trey Baxter
Gerald Steen
Billingsley
Hancock
Runoff - Wray/Hodges

Anonymous said...

Hey, 9:06 - It's apparent you have no original thoughts since you just did a little switch-a-roo with names from 7:33. No big surprise coming from a Morrison supporter - you must fit right in.

From people who have worked with him, I've heard numerous times that Morrison is a nice person but has great difficulty making a decision on his own; i.e. no original thoughts.

So if Morrison wins, who will be his mentor...... (drum roll).... Weathersby. Yep. Four more years of the Weathersby regime just under a different name.






Anonymous said...

"After seeing the latest paid advertisement on JJ from Will Longwitz, I, a citizen too disgusted with modern politics to want to vote, decided to go vote for Bill Billingsly because anyone running for office that thinks an advertisement such as that is even remotely OK, neither deserves the public trust or is likely to care about the public trust. "

Longwitz should spend less time focusing on cyberbullying constituents and more time explaining his hidden expenditures on his campaign expenditure reports.

Billingsley wins despite Longwitz's attempts to buy the election on the backs of constituents. He should be ashamed of himself as should the folks who padded his pockets.

Anonymous said...

Fitch
Bomgar
Sheila
Howland
Steen
Longwitz
Phillips
Runoff- Wray/ Paintin
Runoff- Williams/ Ingram

Anonymous said...

12:14 I don't agree. Anna Fiser Stephens put that out for the world to see. The world sees it. Stephens and Oxford House are in cahoots with Billingsley. Billingsley doesn't care what happens to Northeast Jackson. Some of Billingsley's biggest donors and supporters work for the Department of Mental Health. That raises major red flags for any thinking person. When Longwitz started asking questions of DMH, they sure got mad about it. What are they hiding? And are they backing Billingsley now because he will help them hide it in the future?

Anonymous said...

KF will have an existential crisis when Alexander loses.

Micah said...

Ole Miss VS Mississippi State. Ole Miss will win... oh wait we are talking about the election... vote the bums out...

clintonrebel said...

I like 11:42's format, but with my own numbers

Bryant 90%
Reeves 85^
Chaney 62%
Fitch - 70%
Bomgar 51%
Longwitz 62%
Hancock/Phillips Runoff
Pickering wins but is arrested before November
Baxter Win
Ford Win
Steen Win
Hodges forces run-off by opponents
Harbor Win

HINDS
Lewis 56%
Alexander 45%
Carr 85%
Wallace 50.1%
Calhoun - Big
McQuirter - Squeaker
Graham - Big but not because of being popular (AMEN)
Begley - Win
Longwitz - Win
Fair 55%
And Bomgar wins a squeaker despite outspending the opponent 20 to 1
Mary wins no more than 3 counties, and probably not Madison or Rankin

Who's Countin'? said...

Ford and Steen can't both win, 11:42. Well, maybe in Madison County.

Anonymous said...

Steen, Crosby & Howland win. Mary loses. #cleansweep. Wouldn't that be a kick in the ass!

Anonymous said...

The sun'll come up tomorrow.

Gallup said...

Copying the "I like 11:42's format, but with my own numbers", with my own numbers, which of course will be an accurate predictor of the outcome. Call off the election and just use these:

Bryant 88%
Reeves 80^
Chaney 67%
Fitch - 55%
Bomgar 48%
Longwitz 56%
Hancock/Phillips Runoff
Pickering 64%, no charges filed due to allegations
Baxter 52%
Ford 45%
Hodges 12% and forces run-off

HINDS
Lewis 56%
Alexander 45%
Carr 89%
Wallace 54%
Calhoun 85%
McQuirter large lead but runoff, eventually wins with 58%
Graham - Big but not because of being popular, and despite being a crook
Begley runoff with Cotten and loses
Longwitz 52% - smallest win of incumbent GOP Senators
Fair 70%
Bomgar - 48%
Mary wins 2 small counties with total 36%

Anonymous said...

I wish they would bring the miniskirt back.

Anonymous said...

Taggert FBed his endorsements. He left out the House 58 race. He was earlier a Bomgar supporter or at least on the mail outs as one. Note: Bomgar had dozens of people on a list of supporters but only 3 no names allowed their picture to be used on his endorsement letter. Everyone has bailed.

Anonymous said...

Last I checked, 2:37, elections are decided by "no names" like me.

Anonymous said...

I'm pulling for @6:55 am results.

Anonymous said...

@2:37 nailed it. Anyone who paid attention to/caught wind of what Bomgar was doing has jump shipped as they know he is going to be a backbencher in the House for years to come...if he is in the House at all.

Anonymous said...

2:37, did you just come here to fling that dung against the wall? Mercy, that's sad. That race will be a 30 point drubbing.

Anonymous said...

Bomgar in a squeaker. Mainly because of the maniac shooter posts his opponent keeps posting. He is going after the soccer mom vote the wrong way. It was his to take.

Anonymous said...

Senator Longwitz has based his entire campaign on DMH and Oxford Houses. Fact is that the MS Department of Mental Health would have been forced to close Oxford Houses had they did anything wrong. (And please don't tell me that the Governor asked them to close because the Governor was mislead by Longwitz). The state of Mississippi only funds alcohol and drug services with a measly 3% sales tax. So by all means let's place the services under the Governor and the legislatures can figure out how to fund the needs of our citizens). A Senator should know the impact that this would have on our state and Billingsley gets it. Higher crime, higher number of kids in welfare, higher medical cost. There is a price to pay when you are only supporting a minority of wealthy individuals that live in one neighborhood. Not to mention that Longwitz accuses DMH of misusing funds with no proof yet he can't even run his own campaign funding with integrity.

I will be voting for Billingsley because he cares for ALL OF HIS CITIZENS....not just the ones that live in one particular neighborhood. No I do NOT work for DMH and I also do NOT live in Maryland

Bill Billingsley for SENATE!!!

Anonymous said...

What is the point of Andy Taggert endorsement on this website appearing after 1/3 of the people have voted ? Did they get 50% discount by waiting so late to post this ad ? Makes no sense.

Anonymous said...

Well I voted in Madison this morning. Thankfully I was able to vote my conscience. Glad most of you JJ commenters aren't voting here with us!!

Anonymous said...

Bomber just rubs me the wrong way. Pro-Madison schools, but he homeschools his kids. Moved his entire family on a whim so he could run for this spot. Guess that's no different than changing the spelling of your last name because a PR firm says its better for your business and political aspirations.

Anonymous said...

No Bomgar poll workers out. Employees have been messaging people on Facebook urging people not to vote for him. Has no volunteer ground game. Madison HOA presidents worked against him. School parents and teachers organized last 2 weeks with email and door to door campaign. Only visible support are the smattering of angry tea party folks. Other candidates have been upset at his campaign tactics, they have voting blocks. He just pissed off to many people.

Anonymous said...

Would you change one letter in your last name for $50 million dollars? I would. Would you home school your kids if you were a genius and didn't have to work? Maybe not, but its defendable. Would you run for office and subject yourself to comments from rednecks even though you are doing it for selfless reasons? I would not, but I admire Joel for doing it.

I wish him the best. If he loses, its not due to anything but great organization from the education establishment (teachers union and rednecks defending their all-white schools). If he loses, it certainly is not due to credentials of his opponent, as he has NONE.

Anonymous said...

@ August 4, 2015 at 3:38 PM

And of course, he is a ginger.

Anonymous said...

3:44 - he knocked on my door four times. not sure if that's what you call a 'ground game' or not, but he has been open and accessible and that counts for me. means a lot to see someone sweating and working to earn your vote.

Anonymous said...

State:
Bryant
Reeves
Pickering 52%
Fitch5 55%
Greeer 60%
Madison County
Longwitz 60%
Pantin/Hodegs Runoff ---Panin wins
Weisendberger/Ingram runoff----Ingram wins
Crosby
Steen
Baxter
Banks
Griffin
Hancock
Rankin County
Swales
Windham
Redfern
Shirley
Palmer
Morrow
Bishop


Anonymous said...

Based on turnout, I revise my Alexander Smith prediction to 50/50. Stanley may pull it off.

Anonymous said...

I'll be shocked if Queen Mary Hawkins-ClownShow covers 30%.

Anonymous said...

Senator Longwitz has based his entire campaign on DMH and Oxford Houses.

You obviously have not been paying attention.

Kingfish said...

He lived for a while in Jackson. Do you blame him for home-schooling his kids? Joel was home-schooled and I'd say his lot in life has turned out pretty damn good but of course in the minds of some, that is reason enough to hate him.

Anonymous said...

3:30 Thank you for your rant. Voted for Will. Glad I did along with just about everyone else on my NEJ street.

Anonymous said...

Bomgar grew up like many or most of us, without a silver spoon in his mouth. Even after the millions he's made, he and his wife still drive USED cars... (and neither is a Mercedes).

Say all the negative stuff you want, but he still resonates with a majority of folks.

Kingfish said...

Wait, you mean he doesn't live in Reunion, doesn't have his home mortgaged to the hilt, doesn't have a Porsche SUV for the wife and a Land Rover for himself? You mean he doesn't spend a fortune on doctors telling him his kids have ADHD and can't do well in school? You mean he's not going to give his kids a souped up corvette when they turn 16?

Horrible, HORRIBLE parenting.

Anonymous said...

We need a "like" button. Well said KF.

Anonymous said...

No KF, I don't "blame" him for homeschooling his kids. But it is hard for him to campaign on a pro-public education platform while doing so. Just as many good candidates are slammed by the teacher's union for sending their kids to private or parochial schools.

I think everyone should do what they think best for their kids education. Don't 'blame' any of them. But have trouble putting his campaign rhetoric together with his choice.

Anonymous said...

@4:52 PM also likes their politicians to stand still while chewing gum.

Anonymous said...

Still an hour and a half to vote.

IF YOU HAVE NOT VOTED, PLEASE GO BY THE POLL AND VOTE!!!!!!

Light turn out means your vote counts that much more.

PLEASE VOTE!

Anonymous said...

Question. Who changed a letter in their last name for political aspirations?

I assume it is Taggart since everyone keeps spelling his last name as Taggert??

When did this happen. Just curious.

Anonymous said...

4:52 "But have trouble putting his campaign rhetoric together with his choice."

No, he had no trouble putting his campaign rhetoric together with his choice. You, and others like you, had trouble accepting it. That's why there's also a democratic party.

Anonymous said...

Don't agree with KF that much but he's spot on at 4:49. DISCLAIMER---I've met and like Bomgar but have never met nor do I dislike his opponent. Bomgar with all his millions lives and acts modestly. Wish I'd have home schooled my kids instead of the hundreds of thousands spent on prep school. Even though I never spent a day in public school and my parents and I spent a fortune on private undergrad, college and grad school, I'm STILL a HUGE proponent of public schools. I think that most educated people see the value of public schools whether or not they attended one or sent their kids to one.

Anonymous said...

4:52 "Just as many good candidates are slammed by the teacher's union for sending their kids to private or parochial schools."

How can you use that reasoning when you're trying to beat up on a conservative candidate?

Anonymous said...

@5:24. Will EVERYONE please quit saying that gooby ass "spot on" shit. How about old school...."exactly right"??

Anonymous said...

All these wild guesses. Here are the results for all elections in MS this year:

Citizens of MS: 0%

A double-heaping helping of the same ol' bullshucks from the same ol' pols: 100%

Do the names or breeds of the cows really matter after you've had a 16-yard dump truck of manure dumped on your head? But at least you should get out and vote for the least bad candidate. And before I forget, please quit saying "gooby ass"...it makes you sound like a spot on 12 year old. EXACTLY RIGHT!

Anonymous said...

"groovy" 5:39

BYOD said...

Will the reunion pineapples be all lit up when the polls close?

Anonymous said...

I voted against all the Republican incumbents as a protest vote because I am tired of them acting like the Democrats in the 60's and 70's. I became a Republican in the mid 60's because I didn't like backroom deals and sweetheart deals. Looks like the Republicans in Mississippi have taken the Democrats place as the party of do nothing for the middle class.

Anonymous said...

Ours will

Anonymous said...

Sadly Tyrone will win because of the idiots of the City of Jackson, Alexander might overcome the dopeboy support Smith has.

Anonymous said...

Understand 6:21 the Reunion action has moved to Bridgewater. Big houses, big swap meets.

Kingfish said...

Morse was 85 when he did that scene, I think. Not a bad way to end a storied career at all.

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