Jackson Jambalaya

Looks like the line is flat to me, but what do I know. I ‘m not a smart blogger.

I think it's 50-50 whether football will be played this Fall. Every time somebody tests positive on a football team eveybody around him goes into isolation. You can't go forward operating like that.

@1:59 (as line is clearly inflecting up, never mind math) "line is flat to me." I was almost convinced but he didn't call me "sheeple" so I guess I'm still persuaded by science and measurements.

0.90 => 1.07 is almost a rounding error. Jeeesh!

That like say it was 85 degrees yesterday but 87 degrees today, so it must be "global warming."

Thank you for posting this. Was about to start my shakes from lack of information. Still feeding the sheep which is good.

And if you’re under 50 you’re more likely to be hit by a flying armadillo

Just left Lowe’s in Madison. I’d say roughly 30-40% of people wearing masks. You’d think that you’d make it mandatory for a few months but nahhhh. Muh freedom

I say just cancel all sports until next years baseball season start. We've done so well so far. This way we can all focus on our impending deaths.

AND also, 2:36 - the Rt at 1.07 is an "estimate"; between 0.86 and 1.25

The 'increase' from .90 is truly a rounding error at this point since all this is an estimate.

I'm not one that is denying the problem or claiming hoax. I believe we all need to be COVID aware, use good common sense, and follow the guidelines.

But to say that using these numbers is an "increase" with no better science available than we have is truly a false headline.

The line is, for statistical purposes, flat. IF it continues on the slight upward curve that the estimated values have it at now, then it will be an increase.

Is it a good metric for policy makers to use? Certainly. Along with dozens of others - but not as a standalone to claim that the sky is falling again.

1:59 may not be a "smart blogger," but he is clearly a smart ass.

From the website, it appears that all 50 states went from well above 1.0 on March 8, to well below 1.0 by the third week of April. The measures obviously worked. The cost/benefit analysis is a while other topic.

Well . . . let's remember what was going on a few weeks ago.

Church Services in parking lots were potentially covid deadly.

But a few days later . . . mass protests were fine.

Now there's a new spike in Covid cases ?

Who would have thought that would happen ?

Too bad they aren't graphing the economic destruction caused by the bullshit lockdowns per state.

I expected a rise with everything opening up. Closing everything was to slow the spread not stop it. You can’t stop it and you can’t close America for a year or years. What a deal China gave us. Don’t buy anything made in China!

Today's news - 19 Clemson players test positive. All we need is prayer from pastor Freeze.

Really need to dig deeper in the numbers. All the left wants to do is talk about positives, but the number of hospitalizations, deaths, etc is the real number we need to watch.

A lot of positives without a lot of hospitalizations would probably be best for herd immunity. An effective vaccine, may be here by the end of year or may take years to achieve, we can't put our lives on hold for that.

For healthy people under age 55, there is very little risk of serious complications.

I've never seen over five people in Madison Lowe's wearing a face mask. Whoever said 40% is sniffing the pot plants.

Rrrrrrright.

Who wants to put money on an Asteroid wiping us out before Covid does? And no cotton quality face diaper will help with that.

They announced they weren’t going to issue much data anymore. “Software Issues”. They haven’t released numbers in two days.

Let's face it. Nobody really knows what to do. Every restaurant is handling it different. The restaurants that are trying the hardest are also the ones that are suffering the most. Ride out to Pelican Cove tomorrow afternoon (or tonight) and you'll see an example of why transmissions are increasing. Some places act as if there never was a virus.

We are so careful walking around in grocery store, its like we are in an AIDs ward in the 80s, and then you turn around and see 80 people stacked on top of each other waiting on a table at a restaurant BECAUSE HALF THE TABLES ARE NOT OPEN. Brilliant.

And don't even get me started on this idiotic rally in Oklahoma.

Saturday National Numbers. Tests 584k. Most in a single day. 32k Positive.

@4:59
Elon Musk has a plan for that. He can launch 10 dragon 5 falcons at once. I saw the tik tok. Yeah they just put an unsold Tesla under each rocket and she lights up like the fourth of July.

2:09. If college football season is canceled, there will be more chaos in these parts than anything some measly Wuhan virus can cause.

My favorite comments on all Covid stories start like this -

"I was in (insert store name) and only (insert random low number or low percentage) of people were wearing masks"

Yep..you can get a ticket for being in a church parking lot praying but you can go and protest within arms distance even though you are wearing a mask but you can’t pray God In your car. The SILENT MAJORITY like myself have had enough and will rise. And we don’t march down a street with purple, pink, green or blue hair and 50 tats on our bodies (which looks like a melting ice cream cone on a female butt when she hits 40.....psssstttt but don’t tell them that )...Oh, how did I get off on that rabbit chase? What I’m trying to say is damn...I forgot calgon, take me away!!!! Just a little ‘70’s nostalgia there... damn I miss those days

4:44, if Freeze was at Clemson, they would not have the virus problem and they would have won another natty last year.

@5:46, you are correct, the only gatherings that will be allowed and that are safe are the ones YOU personally support!

Here’s another good site with info on the Rt rate and estimated deaths.

https://covid19-projections.com/us-ms

And too many don’t understand how a small difference in the Rt rate can make a big difference in the disease. Given about a week in case transmission a .9 Rt would drop the daily cases by 75% in 14 weeks. An Rt would double the daily cases in just 8 weeks.

Just doing a little bit more can mean we could virtually eliminate any uncontrolled spread by October, and a little more complacency could see us with 4 times more cases and deaths in the same period. It not just a rounding error if you have even a basic understanding of compounding over time.

Follow the numbers. The virus in the black community in Madison is spreading at a substantially higher rate than among whites. The same is true in Hinds. No one seems to be talking about this, but they should be. It isn’t the white folks at waiting in line at Pelican Cove who are spreading the virus. The growth rates naming whites in Madison and Hinds is pretty slow and flat. No so In the black community. And while it is foolish for anyone not to be practicing social distancing and other measures, more attention needs to be placed on the specific parts of the communities where the virus is spreading most rapidly. But no one seems give a hoot. The black community is being harder hit than white community, not just in morbidity, but in numbers of cases. Is someone paying attention to this in leadership?

4:41, you actually can stop it. That's what that green line is. Once the R value drops below 1, the virus dies out because it isn't being transmitted frequently enough to sustain itself in the population. We can leave the economy open and knock this out with masks and social distancing. Or, we can ignore reality and wait until it gets so bad we have to shut everything down again. And guess what will happen then. Everyone will start wearing masks and start social distancing. You can do what's right now with little consequence, or you can wait until lots of people die and the economy is disrupted again to do what's right. Either way, you better get at peace with wearing a mask.

The computer in the Health Dept. hasn't worked 4 of the last 10 years.

We are truly lost.

It’s headed right for Alabama

Poor Alabama

meanwhile, the COVID has broken MSDH’s data department, which apologizes for its “legacy software” (= “crap
that was obsolete 10 years ago”)

so we will have even less idea what’s going on

(& thanks for pointing out the innumeracy, 9:01)

Let's all take a deep breath and put everything in perspective. Data from worldometer.com
shows for the USA as of 10:30 AM EST on 06/21/2020:

Total cases(tested positive): 7/1000 population
Mortality: 0.37/1000 population

Distressing but certainly not the 1919 pandemic. I know, I know too early to tell but Happy Father's Day anyway.

Thank you 9:01 pm Alas , we have too many in MS who think they understand things they don't.

10:38 pm is certainly one who doesn't understand that race is a factor only because a lack of access to good health care and poverty causing a lack of affordability of protective measures exists in the African American community.

4:30 pm Imagined that no one mentioned virus risks and concern in the protests nor that protesters were wearing masks. If they weren't there were so few that I missed seeing them among the peaceful protesters on any national news sites. I don't look at extremist sites.

It's not that we don't know what to do, it's that some of you refuse to belief reliable sources and search for those who will give you an excuse to be a self-centered asshole . No doubt in WWII you'd have not willingly rationed and sold what you could on the black market. The notion of citizenship responsibility bigger than yourself doesn't exist for some of you.

MSDH finally posted some of the numbers from Friday. Hospitalizations had a large increase from 483 to 516. Steady increase almost every day for the past week. Looks like the expected surge after Memorial Day is here. The death rate should take a corresponding leap in the next 10 days or so as the very sick continue to worsen and die.

Great job guys, you passed it on among yourselves and then brought it back home to those who were at risk. It does no good to try and stay vigilant when there are so many obtuse people who don't care about anything but their own convenience.

Give it 2 more weeks?

“10:38 pm is certainly one who doesn't understand that race is a factor only because a lack of access to good health care and poverty causing a lack of affordability of protective measures exists in the African American community.“
It isn’t that I don’t understand, it is that no one seems to do anything about it or acknowledge that there is a problem. There are multiple factors, such as multigenerational families in the same household, the kinds of jobs held, lack of social distancing, etc. The virus doesn’t spread among blacks because they are black, but because of other factors. The point of my post was that no one seems to be seriously addressing those issues. The morbidity rate certainly is related to lack of health care, the spread is less so. Obviously blacks are getting tested, hence the data that shows a higher rate of spread. Most folks with the disease aren’t hospitalized, so treatment for most is not an issue (there isn’t a treatment for the miild cases anyway). And the most effective protective measures really little to do with affordability.

From the MSDH virus web page: "Our daily COVID-19 update will be limited as we work to resolve technical problems in our data reporting system."

Translation: "We don't have anyone with a 3rd grade education who can count to three- or four-hundred and report that number to our webmaster."