Sunday, April 7, 2019

Bill Crawford: Will Lesser-Known Candidates Save Us From Our Saviors?

First a correction. Last week I wrote there are 13 candidates for governor; instead there are 14. I left out Constitution Party candidate Bob Hickingbottom. My apologies.

The Associated Press labeled most of these as "lesser known candidates." While it is unlikely a lesser known candidate will win a party nomination, this is Mississippi where lesser knowns surprise us.

Remember Thomas Carey?

Carey was the Hernando retired realtor and volunteer prison minister at Parchman who put his name on the 2014 primary ballot as a Republican candidate for U.S. Senator. This lesser known candidate got only 4,854 votes out of 319,000, but his presence forced a runoff between Thad Cochran and Chris McDaniel, to McDaniel's dismay.

Could that happen again? Lt. Gov. Tate Reeves is the favorite, retired Supreme Court Chief Justice Bill Waller, Jr., is the challenger, and Hernando state Rep. Robert Foster is the lesser known candidate.

As exhibited in the first Republican primary debate last week (skipped by Reeves), Foster is an attractive and articulate conservative candidate. He will likely win a lot more votes than Carey did, especially in his home DeSoto County, one of highest turnout counties for Republicans.

If Waller, who had an excellent debate, mounts a tight challenge to Reeves, Foster could force a runoff.

Then there is the Democratic primary. Attorney General Jim Hood is the favorite and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Shuler Smith is the key challenger with seven other lesser knowns on the ballot.

Remember Robert Gray?

He was the unknown African-American truck driver from Terry who came out of nowhere to upset favorite Vicki Slater, a white lawyer from Madison, for the Democratic nomination for governor four years ago. Smith and most of the Democratic candidates this year are African-American, while Hood is a white lawyer.

Could history replay itself? If black voter turnout is high and white turnout low, Hood could face a runoff or worse.

Still and all, the lesser known candidates are unlikely to up-end Reeves, Waller, and Hood.

As for them, all three have plans to save us. Reeves wants to save us from taxes and Washington liberalism. Hood wants to save us politically and spiritually. Waller wants to save us from irresponsible government.

At this point in the campaign, it's easy to envision Reeves as a tweetless mini-Trump with a dash of Betsy DeVos which appeals to many Republicans, Hood as a toned-down Billy Graham proselytizing us on family friendly issues, and Waller as a laidback, conservative William Winter running an issues based, responsible government campaign.

How will this play out? Let's assume there are no lesser known candidate surprises.

To win, Waller, a Baptist deacon, must activate statewide the same sort of grassroots coalitions that carried Baptist deacons Gregg Harper and Michael Guest to victory in their congressional races. Hood must grab a large share of white Christian conservatives and turn out a huge black vote in November. If neither happens, Reeves' deep pockets and tax-cut agenda should carry him to victory. A Waller upset of Reeves would greatly dim Hood’s prospects.

The wild cards for November are President Trump showing up to meddle in the campaign and the level of black voter turnout.

But this is Mississippi, so who knows what will really happen.

Crawford is a syndicate columnist from Meridian.


Anonymous said...

There are those running to help themselves and those running to save us from them. Vote Waller!

Anonymous said...

$5 gets you $10 that Crawford comments anonymously here @ JJ.

Anonymous said...

Foster for governor No Tate for my state

Anonymous said...

Prior to election day, nobody in Madison had ever heard of Vicky Slater. And after we learned who she was, we wish we had not.

Please stop tossing oranges into the apple barrel.

Anonymous said...

223, the folks in Madison County that had not heard of Vickie Slater weren't voting in the Democratic primary either.

Would be fair to say that nobody in Madison County (or anywhere else, for that matter) had heard of Robert Gray either.

Follow your own advice about playing with fruits.

Bunion For State Foot Surgeon... said...

For the fruit at 3:10 - I don't have knowledge of how anybody votes in Madison county and neither do you. I've never heard of Robert Gray either. Was he by the chance the mystery truck driver from a planet south of Venus? These people that tend to pop up out of the woodwork and manage to finagle enough signatures to land on a ballot are meaningless in the grand scheme of things. Surely you will agree.

3:10 said...

539, if you don't know how the people of Madison County vote, it's omy because you are too ignorant to understand basic electoral politics, are unable to read and comprhend precinct election returns, or just like to show your ignorance by making stupid blog site comments.

And as an additional show of your ignorance you comment about'finagle signatures' to get their name on a ballot. Primary candidates pay a filing fee (amount determined in statute depending on the office souhht), not by getting signature, finagled or otherwise.

No, I don't agree with any of your uninformed thoughts.

Anonymous said...

And which one of these "lesser-known candidates" changed the ultimate outcome of any election, even the Cochran-McDaniel debacle?

The fact that Hood, Reeves and Smith are the favorites among statistically significant cohorts of likely voters explains so much, including the myriad reasons Mississippi is last or in the bottom 3-4 in so many categories. I cannot say with any certainty that a Bill Waller or a truck driver can make things much better, but there just isn't any "much worse" unless Haiti wants push past Puerto Rico to become the 51st state.

Anonymous said...

3:10 - At least learn to spell the really difficult words like ONLY, COMPREHEND and SOUGHT. And pay attention to the fact that signatures is plural. That would be a good starting point for ya. And do get some sleep tonight.

Anonymous said...

I read Crawford's editorial in the Hattiesburg paper today. He was blowing off steam about Taggart's position against the state flag. I wonder what it would take to get Kingfish to feature a conservative in these weekly rants. We already have Salter, as if that's not enough of a weekly dose of liberalism.

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Trollfest '09

Trollfest '07 was such a success that Jackson Jambalaya will once again host Trollfest '09. Catch this great event which will leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Othor Cain and his band, The Black Power Structure headline the night while Sonjay Poontang returns for an encore performance. Former Frank Melton bodyguard Marcus Wright makes his premier appearance at Trollfest singing "I'm a Sweet Transvestite" from "The Rocky Horror Picture Show." Kamikaze will sing his new hit, “How I sold out to da Man.” Robbie Bell again performs: “Mamas, don't let your babies grow up to be Bells” and “Any friend of Ed Peters is a friend of mine”. After the show, Ms. Bell will autograph copies of her mug shot photos. In a salute to “Dancing with the Stars”, Ms. Bell and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Smith will dance the Wango Tango.

Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything).

Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.

Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".

In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up.

In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.

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Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.

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Trollfest '07

Jackson Jambalaya is the home of Trollfest '07. Catch this great event which promises to leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Sonjay Poontang and his band headline the night with a special steel cage, no time limit "loser must leave town" bout between Alan Lange and "Big Cat"Donna Ladd following afterwards. Kamikaze will perform his new song F*** Bush, he's still a _____. Did I mention there was no referee? Dr. Heddy Matthias and Lori Gregory will face off in the undercard dueling with dangling participles and other um, devices. Robbie Bell will perform Her two latest songs: My Best Friends are in the Media and Mama's, Don't Let Your Babies Grow up to be George Bell. Sid Salter of The Clarion-Ledger will host "Pin the Tail on the Trial Lawyer", sponsored by State Farm.

There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.

If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.

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