Friday, October 29, 2010

Election weekend thread.

Hmmm.....lets take a whack at the congressional races first. I think Taylor wins by 3. I know its starting to trend Palazzo's way but I think some of it is noise I hear from conservative websites. The polls are showing a shift but it still comes down to GOTV effort. North Mississippi? Nunalee by 5. Childers is no wild-eyed liberal but he's in a somewhat red district in a red year. Nunalee is not the best candidate but he's been running hard for a long time and its paying off. District 2? Bennie by 10. I know what that poll circulating around the web shows but I'm skeptical of it. Bennie's running hard and given the demographics of the district, I don't see Bennie losing this one. JFP had a story tonight questioning the poll and truth be told, I'd had similar thoughts myself. Harper gets 60%.

Judicial races? Weill wins by 15. Farmer and Priester make the runoff. Gowan wins his race (don't know enough about that one to predict the margin). Houston Patton's race? Who knows. He should be in jail but true to form in Mississippi, he probably returns to office by a comfortable margin. I predict Emfinger wins his race for circuit judge. Madison County Court? Longwitz 48% Bluntson 23% (I think Bennie turnout helps up in the northern precincts) Ratcliffe 25% Whatshisname 4%.

Interesting Congressional races nationally? Buck by 4 in Colorado. Rubio wins 52% of the vote in Florida. Fiorna by 1 in California. O'Donnell loses by 6 in Delaware. Dems screwed up with that Gawker crap as I warned and is now creating a backlash. Toomey by 3 over Sleastack. Feingold goes down. WV Governor pulls it out. Reid loses to Angle. Miller beats back Murkoswki. Paul-are you kidding? He kicks Conway's ass as the polls currently show. Scott wins governorship of Florida and Patrick goes down in Massachussetts. And yes, I think Barney Frank will win. Should be fun Tuesday night.

Weill, Marcy, and Longwitz all purchased advertising on this site, something all candidates are welcome to do, regardless of party, even "The License Plates Are Too Damn High Party".

22 comments:

Anonymous said...

Craig Brasfield and John Emfinger split Rankin County 50-50; and Madison County edge gives Brasfield the Rankin-Madison Circuit Court Judge seat in nail bitter! Book it!

KaptKangaroo said...

I'll be thankful when the posers get on with it.

Anonymous said...

Bennie by 10? Terrible but believable. Marcy is just not a formidable enough opponent to Bennie.
I so want Gene Taylor to lose I dream about it at night. He just can't win this year!!!

Ironghost said...

I'll vote against Bennie again, and as usual it won't do any good. Bennie couldn't find my town with GPS and a driver. I know I'm stuck voting for someone who doesn't even live in the district, which is sad.

bill said...

Ironghost, please. Bill Marcy lives in Vicksburg. He hasn't lived there long, but he's there and committed to the people of the district. Bill is a good man and a good candidate, and if he gets the right turnout he can win. The anti-Thompson crowd hasn't had anyone to vote for lately, and is accustomed to staying home on Election Day. Tuesday they're coming out...BB

Anonymous said...

Bennie has been pretty effective igetting the message out that his opponent is a Yankee who lives outside the district, even though it's no longer true. Marcy waited too long to move in- district.

Anonymous said...

How come when the 155th went to Iraq, Steven Palazzo and Charles Barbour got to stay behind at Camp Shelby? They took the money every month and used the National Guard on their political resumes, but are they chickenhawks?

Anonymous said...

Emfinger wins withlout runoff

Anonymous said...

A comment about chickenhawks by an anonymous poster is, er, basically chicken shit.

Anonymous said...

Emfinger has sent two emails to all RCSD (THAT again) employees on the district website. At the bottom there is the usual "paid for by the committee to elect...and approved by...". Does this mean RCSD has been paid to blast this to all employees? What is the protocol on this?

Just asking.

Anonymous said...

In the my 10:49 comment let me retract the "all" RCSD employees since I cannot verify that. It was sent to my school address and I don't know how the Emfinger committee would have obtained it since this address is only used for school district emails.

Still just asking.

Anonymous said...

Bill Marcy is the first opponent against Bennie Thompson that appears to have a fundamental grasp of the english language. Perhaps it is a sign...hmmm...

Anonymous said...

You've got MS4 backwards Palazzo by 4 or 5. People are fed up with Gene Taylor's whining that it's the insurance industry's fault that he had his house underinsured.

Anonymous said...

8:40 There's no doubt you are not a member of the Mississippi Army National Guard and never have been, or you would not be making such a STUPID POST about something you know absolutely nothing about. Both Steven Palazzo and Charles Barbour are highly respected soldiers, have always served their country honorably, and that's really all you should be concerned about.

Anonymous said...

I live in Gregg Harper's district and wonder why lawn signs for Marcy went up in Madison and Ridgeland today. I just dropped kids off for a Halloween party in Eastover and wondered why there was a Nunelee lawn sign in Eastover.

I'm not sayin', you know - I'm just sayin' ;-)

Anonymous said...

Part of Madison is in the second district. Highway 463 is the dividing line. Annandale is in the Third and Reunion in the Second.

Ironghost said...

Hm, I coulda sworn Marcy was from or living in Meridian. Ah well. Still, better than Bennie.

Anonymous said...

I have to ask 8:40, do you know what there MOS is? Not every MOS or AFSC is a deployable one. Although there is certainly a mission abroad, there is also a mission to support at home. If you want to leave a post, know what the hell your talking about! Your just some douchebag that has no understanding of the National Guard or Active Duty side of the house. Let's see, sometimes, deployments request only a certain number of personnel with specific ranks. Perhaps their rank was out of scope of what was requested. Who knows? You should kneel down and thank them. They held up their right hand and took an oath. I doubt very seriously that you have. Next time you see a soldier or an airman in uniform, you need to thank him or her. Of course, we also fight for people like you to leave assinine posts. Let's see, that would fall under Freedom of Speech. I don't guess you figured it out that it's because of Guardsman and Active duty military that you have that freedom. It doesn't matter if they are serving at home or abroad, THEY ARE SERVING THEIR COUNTRY!! USAF SFS Hoo-ah!

bill said...

Ironghost, you're almost right. Bill was living in Meridian when he started the campaign, but moved to Vicksburg several months ago and plans to stay, win or lose. It's not a requirement to live in the district to run for Congress, but you're required to live in the district by the time you take the oath of office if you win. You could run for Congress in New York as long as you were willing to move there if you won.

Bennie's pushing hard on Bill's residency and background because he doesn't have anything else. Bill is the right candidate at the right time, and Bennie knows it and is running scared after ignoring Bill until now. Second District voters, Bennie is beatable. Get out the vote for Marcy on Tuesday! BB

Anonymous said...

Bennie's pushing hard on Bill's residency and background because he doesn't have anything else.

In many respects Gene Taylor, for all his shortcomings, has brought more bacon home to the state in the form of jobs than Thompson has brought to his district.

Anonymous said...

KF's predictions are all plausible, except that Miller in Alaska seems to be tanking.

KaptKangaroo said...
This comment has been removed by the author.


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