Time will tell what happens with the tariffs upheaval and long-term impacts on the U.S. economy, but a friend in DC, Tim Stewart with the U.S. Oil and Gas Association, describes it this way:
"We are witnessing a wholesale self-remodeling of a house that is 75 years old. One day the owner walks into the kitchen and says, "All of this is old and nothing works anymore." So the owner has a new kitchen in mind and begins demolition without explaining to his wife what he is doing or what the new kitchen is going to look like. Right now, we are watching the demolition, and it is disconcerting." While trade and energy issues are quite different, they intersect, and both are best viewed through a very long-term lens. (BTW, energy products like oil and gas were excluded from the recent tariffs.) Akin to trade policies that take years to settle out, most major energy projects are very capital intensive requiring years of development with plans for long operating lives. Projects that start (or are thwarted) in one political term yield benefits (or opportunity loss) many terms down the road. Take Grand Gulf Nuclear Station in Claiborne County, which began construction when Bill Waller was Governor and Richard Nixon was President. 9 Governors and 10 Presidents later, Grand Gulf remains central Mississippi's single largest and cost effective electric generating facility with at least 20 more years of life. More often than not, energy policies impact the market and consumers years after their enactment more so than immediately. Drastically changing policy schemes at the federal level from one Administration to the next in recent years has hindered long-term project development in areas like nuclear power expansion and offshore energy development. The Biden Administration was the worst 4 years of energy policy in U.S. history, peddling the lie to the American people about an energy transition away from oil, coal and natural gas while doing little to nothing towards increasing nuclear power and while China and India were (and continue) adding energy at a record pace. The fact is, the U.S. is not in an energy transition but in an energy race. The currency for future industrial growth is electricity. Those places capable of adding reliable electricity capacity and adding it faster than others will be an oasis for future manufacturing and technology investments. This could be an advantage for Mississippi if it plays its cards right, meaning proactively laying the policy groundwork today for the energy infrastructure investment needed to support manufacturing and technology industry growth for the next generation.Generally, policies are needed to support the following: 1.Near-term - Plan/build more natural gas power plants to be constructed and operating within the next 5-15 years. Global natural gas demand is tracking total energy demand and growing faster than ever. In the U.S., natural gas used to generate electricity has more than doubled in the last 15 years, and industrial energy demand is driving future electricity demand higher. This is stressing the global supply chain, so proactive planning is required to get in the queue to add gas generation. Much smaller renewable projects may be sprinkled in but must be in a way to complement the reliable generating assets, for example, hedging against the possibility of high natural gas prices in the future. 2. Long-term - Plan/build new nuclear units to be constructed and operating in 10-20 years. There is much attention given to the prospect of small modular reactors (SMRs) designed to ease and shorten the regulatory and siting process while offering new options for scalability. Whether SMRs or large reactors or both are the answer for the next generation of nuclear energy, we know nuclear energy development takes many years and is very costly. As Grand Gulf has demonstrated, one generation builds energy projects for the benefit of the next two generations. Across the globe, billions of people still need electricity or more electricity just to get to a decent standard of living. Additionally, technology and manufacturing are driving electricity demand faster than ever. Where electricity capacity is or where it's added in the years to come, industrial investment will likely follow. As Mark Twain said, "the secret to getting ahead is getting started."
Patrick Sullivan authored this post. He is the President of the Mississippi Energy Institute. This post is a paid advertisement.
12 comments:
It might be time to load my roof with solar panels and install several days worth of battery storage. I'm too old to be trusting an aging electrical grid and availability/cost of petro for my ability to keep my lights on, AC pumping, and food cooking.
Excellent plan!
Very well said!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aKnX5wci404
Here's an idea:
Stop incentivizing crypto-fams. They are a black hole of energy consumption, and contribute nothing to the region, or society at large.
“Crypto farms” are actually computational hashing farms. The work they are performing is important and then they are rewarded by receiving payment. You are just an ignorant no-coiner full of hate. Do you remember what Trudeau did to the truck drivers in Canada? He can’t do that to the distributed blockchain. Cryptocurrency is freedom from central banking.
Crypto is a scam, a fraud. Moronic. A waste.
LNG is at 3.50 per btu until it get to $5 per unit, this is all a wet dream
@3:55 Please give us your thesis why cryptocurrencies are a scam?
How many coal miners are working now? About 20,000 or so. The miners don't even want their children to aspire to be miners.
We need better interstate roads in MS ie: Madison/Hinds County I-55 is absolutely a nightmare.
8:19, Here's one example, from Texas:
"crypto facilities lock in a relatively low rate to purchase electricity “behind the meter,” so the supply does not enter the ERCOT market. But Bitcoin mining companies can later decide to sell that power to the rest of the grid through the ERCOT market, rather than powering their computers."
"n August 2023, when energy prices were high amid scorching summer days, Riot Platforms made $24.2 million from reselling power purchased through their private agreements onto the wholesale energy market, almost tripling the $8.6 million the company made that month mining and selling Bitcoin."
"With three distinct ways to profit — energy-intensive computations to “mine” Bitcoin, selling power on the wholesale energy market or participating in demand response — each decision will impact the availability of energy for most of Texas. And which method miners choose is highly variable."
https://www.texastribune.org/2024/07/10/texas-bitcoin-mine-noise-power-grid-cryptocurrency/
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