Friday, April 10, 2020

Is the Record Truly a Record?

How much are Covid-19 virus infections increasing in Mississippi? Mississippi suffered a record increase yesterday but was it truly a record? The chart below shows a pattern:


The bar chart pattern resembles more of a yo-yo than it does a straight-line linear progression.   The Health Department reported 257 new infections yesterday, the most yet.  However, there were only 88 new infections on Wednesday, 177 new infections on Tuesday, and 100 new infections on Monday.

The pattern is due to the entering of batches of test results in the system.  Testing has also increased as the state offers more drive-through testing so more cases are naturally discovered.  The amount of new cases are higher than they were a few weeks go

25 comments:

Anonymous said...

Party at Flag Island tomorrow.

Anonymous said...

Maybe Tater can explain after he finishes wishing the kids Happy Birthday.

Anonymous said...

We need to end the flu, and colds to. Let's finish these viruses off once and for all right now! We can do it! Stay the course!

Anonymous said...

Most of the cases are presumed, not positive for the virus. Yes, there is a difference.

Anonymous said...

Thanks for looking at this KF. The trend is definitely going up using the moving average

Still fair and balanced said...

The real number is the multi day average. Somewhere between 3-7 days. Dumbasses in Miss. state government too stupid to recognize and explain it.

Anonymous said...

I thought the birthday idea was great, actually. Not only thoughtful for these kids who don't get to have a party with their friends, but it got a ton of folks to watch the press conference. Marketing 101, pretty smart if you ask me.

Anonymous said...

@4:20

There actually has been a lot of chatter about headed to flag as a form of protest. That group of people aren’t really the type to roll over for the government. Good luck arresting them all.

Anonymous said...

@420 don’t arrest them. Just leave them there. They can protest and be stupid all they wish. I will donate three kegs. Just take their boats away from two weeks and 4 days and leave them there.

Anonymous said...

It seems to me that the logical way to look at the numbers is to look at the “net” change in the cases each day. In other words, take the number of people who have been diagnosed as positive in the past, who have recovered, and then subtract that number from the number of new positive cases diagnosed that day. For whatever reason, we never see any information on the number of recoveries. I would think that this net number would be beneficial for the government to know when they are making decisions concerning when to allow businesses to resume operation.

PittPanther said...

Pearl River cops, get those Tasers charged up!

TheClintonscantsuicideusall said...

"A Mississippi church is suing the city of Greenville after police shut down its drive-in service this week in accordance with a city ban on the practice amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

Attorneys with the Alliance Defending Freedom filed the lawsuit Friday on behalf of the Temple Baptist Church. The filing challenges Greenville Mayor Errick Simmons' April 7 executive order that prohibits drive-in church services until a statewide shelter-in-place order is lifted.

The suit comes after eight uniformed Greenville police officers reportedly issued $500 tickets to congregants who refused to leave a parking lot where a drive-in service was being conducted Wednesday, the ADF said in a statement announcing the legal challenge.

The group contends that church congregants stayed in their cars with their windows rolled up while listening to Pastor Arthur Scott preach from inside the empty Go Church building.

“Government is clearly overstepping its authority when it singles out churches for punishment, especially in a ridiculous fashion like this,” said ADF senior counsel Ryan Tucker, director of the ADF Center for Christian Ministries. “In Greenville, you can be in your car at a drive-in restaurant, but you can’t be in your car at a drive-in church service. That’s not only nonsensical, it’s unconstitutional, too.”

The Greenville Police Department and Simmons' office did not immediately return calls from Fox News for comment Friday.

The church has been conducting the services for the past three weeks in accordance with social distancing rules, the ADF said. Simmons' ban orders church buildings closed for in-person and drive-in services.

Mississippi Gov. Tate Reeves, a Republican, makes no such mention in his shelter-in-place order. Simmons met with local religious leaders Thursday to discuss the ban and most agreed with his executive order, the city posted on its Facebook account.
Religious services have become somewhat of a contentious issue as governments prohibit large gatherings in an effort to slow the spread of the virus.

Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly, a Democrat, is suing top state Republican lawmakers after they voted to overturn her executive order banning large gatherings in churches."

Source Fox

Anonymous said...

Flag Island has been officially renamed "Devil's Island."

Anonymous said...

"For whatever reason, we never see any information on the number of recoveries."

There are sources for those numbers, but depending on who you ask, truly _recovered_, i.e., not just "feeling better/OK/well," means at least two negative tests (and really, there's more to it than that, such as antibody tests for SARS-CoV-2) at least a week apart. The CDC guidelines are much less strict, but it is almost certain that the supposed "reinfections" in the news are really cases that were pronounced "recovered" under a faulty standard. In simple terms, they weren't reinfected because they were never "uninfected." A bunch of people going out with the mistaken belief they are "recovered" when they are still shedding the virus and possibly still contagious is yet another recipe for disaster.

That said, I will happily join with anyone who wants to make the case that we need to be doing more of a variety of tests ASAP, but we don't have them yet.

Anonymous said...

At 6:22 pm— We don’t see “recovered” cases because that would require re-testing them. As of now, those people, if recovered, wouldn’t meet the guidelines to be tested. FWIW, we don’t see reported numbers for recovered cases for people who test positive for the flu. IMO, knowing that info wouldn’t be helpful in determining when businesses should resume operations. If recovered people can catch the virus again and infect others, we start this whole process again. The availability of a vaccine may be the best chance of allowing our economy to start again.

Anonymous said...

Taser is no match for an AR. Govt has no right to close a public resource. Govt overreach will not be tolerated. Maybe it’s time for you carpet baggers to go back to where you came from.

Anonymous said...

"@420 don’t arrest them. Just leave them there. They can protest and be stupid all they wish. I will donate three kegs. Just take their boats away from two weeks and 4 days and leave them there." April 10, 2020 at 6:01 PM

And who says JJ doesn't provide useful information. First, BRAVO! A fine and fantastic idea! I understand you not wanting to post your real name, but if you did and decided to run for an office in which I could vote, you've got at least 75% of my vote for that one idea. And I don't care what your party, gender, religion, race, or sexual orientation might be. If nothing else, have you considered a career in advising our current crop of elected idiots?

Anonymous said...

And another thing about the tests for COVID-19, SARS-Cov-2, infection, "recovered," etc. These tests aren't like home blood sugar monitoring or home pregnancy tests that you can go pick up at numerous outlets, stick your finger or pee in a cup and "test." There are a variety of types of tests, but none are currently widely available - there just isn't some company churning out millions upon millions of testing kits or supplies at this point. As I mentioned above, testing for "recovered" isn't simply a single negative test and you're good to go. I hope most of you simply don't know the situation and aren't being intentionally ignorant, but seriously folks, don't be intentionally and willfully stupid. This thing has the potential to really damage society, but, and here's the good news, it really isn't all that difficult to combat in a variety of ways.

I know and realize I'm mostly either preaching to the choir or it is falling on deaf ears, but if it helps change a few minds and save even a little pain and heartache, it's worth it.

Anonymous said...

I drove over to my daughter's house from Pearl to Brandon. All the stores were wide open!
It was incredable! No one is staying Locked Down! Roads are Packed!
The Kroger, Game Exchange, all gas stations, Home Depot, Walmart, Dollar Tree, Harbor Freight, Computer Repair, all drive thru fast food places Sonic,
Dairy Queen, Mcdonalds, Chick fli, etc were PACKED.

Only the chumps are staying at home.
Tatar Tot call this farce off.
Put the kids back in school.
Let my people go!

Anonymous said...

Everyone is tracking something. If you truly want to see something crazy;
Wait till 300 million people try to get a hair cutting appointment!

Anonymous said...

It is taking 5 days to get a result. So all the data is historical

Anonymous said...

This is a great battle between people w a brain and idiots. Will be interesting tos we who
prevails. I’m betting on the idiots. Simply because there are far more of them.

Anonymous said...

They need to load up a crop dusting chopper with pepper spray and pass over the island. Maybe tear gas, tossed into the crowd from a chopper. National guard could use the island as a target range for light artillery practice.

Anonymous said...

Post of the week @9:43. You may drop the microphone and leave the building.

Anonymous said...

Possible effect of a testing logjam?

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Trollfest '07 was such a success that Jackson Jambalaya will once again host Trollfest '09. Catch this great event which will leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Othor Cain and his band, The Black Power Structure headline the night while Sonjay Poontang returns for an encore performance. Former Frank Melton bodyguard Marcus Wright makes his premier appearance at Trollfest singing "I'm a Sweet Transvestite" from "The Rocky Horror Picture Show." Kamikaze will sing his new hit, “How I sold out to da Man.” Robbie Bell again performs: “Mamas, don't let your babies grow up to be Bells” and “Any friend of Ed Peters is a friend of mine”. After the show, Ms. Bell will autograph copies of her mug shot photos. In a salute to “Dancing with the Stars”, Ms. Bell and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Smith will dance the Wango Tango.

Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything).


Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.

Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".

In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up.


In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.

Trollfest '09 is a pet-friendly event as well. Feel free to bring your dog with you and do not worry if your pet gets hungry, as employees of the Jackson Zoo will be on hand to provide some of their animals as food when it gets to be feeding time for your little loved one.

Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.


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Jackson Jambalaya is the home of Trollfest '07. Catch this great event which promises to leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Sonjay Poontang and his band headline the night with a special steel cage, no time limit "loser must leave town" bout between Alan Lange and "Big Cat"Donna Ladd following afterwards. Kamikaze will perform his new song F*** Bush, he's still a _____. Did I mention there was no referee? Dr. Heddy Matthias and Lori Gregory will face off in the undercard dueling with dangling participles and other um, devices. Robbie Bell will perform Her two latest songs: My Best Friends are in the Media and Mama's, Don't Let Your Babies Grow up to be George Bell. Sid Salter of The Clarion-Ledger will host "Pin the Tail on the Trial Lawyer", sponsored by State Farm.

There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.

If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.

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