Home prices to fall another two years
Who ya gonna believe? CNBC tool Jim Cramer who tells you the housing market has reached its bottom OR a leading mortgage insurance company who says housing prices will fall for another two years? Housingwire reports:
"Home prices will be lower in two years compared to Q109 for much of the country’s metropolitan statistical areas, (MSAs) according to an economic trends report released by PMI Mortgage Insurance Co......
Florida, California, Nevada and Arizona are home to 36 of the most risky MSAs, but other regions are not immune, according to PMI’s chief economist and strategist David Berson.
“Rapidly rising foreclosure and unemployment rates, continuing declines in house prices, and weakening consumer demand all worked to increase risk in the general economy, and the housing market specifically,” Berson says in a statement today. “As a result of the continued weakness in prices, and the relatively low level of interest rates, improvements in affordability across the nation’s MSAs will continue to incentivize repeat and first-time homebuyers back into the market.”..."
Although the Jackson market should stay fairly stable, the housing market nationwide should continue to decline. The subprime implosion has passed and low interest rates have mitigated the effects of the ARM and Option-ARM resets to some degree. Unfortunately, the no-money-down mortgages that Fannie and Freddie passed out by the bushel are now imploding. Another time bomb is blowing up as well: the Fannie Mae stated income program for investment properties. Yup. Fannie Mae financed stated income program investment properties and allowed the purchaser to put only 10% down. This will cause prices to decline further as more foreclosures take place. There will be some temporary spikes as people take advantage of the lower prices in some markets, but they will be outweighed by the loss of potential homebuyers as underwriting standards have drastically tightened. Remember, the median price of a home should be no more than 3.5 times the median income. Until we reach that ratio, we are still sliding towards the bottom.




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