Sunday, October 11, 2026

Bill Crawford: How Does AI Know When Something is "Better"?

 The first in a series on a fascinating yet troubling discussion with ChatGPT:

Me: Are you able to present both sides of an issue with equal determination? 

AI: Yes. In fact, presenting competing arguments with comparable intellectual rigor is one of the things I can do particularly well.

Me:  So, does that make you indecisive?

AI: No. Being able to argue both sides strongly is different from being indecisive. Think of it this way: Indecisiveness – both sides have arguments, so I can't reach a conclusion. Balanced analysis – here is the strongest case for each side. Now, weighing the evidence, assumptions, consequences, and uncertainties, here is my conclusion. 

AI: And if you want me to take a stronger stance, you can explicitly tell me: "Don't just give me both sides. Decide which is better and defend your conclusion." I can do that too.

Me: How can you determine “better”? 

AI: That is the crucial question. “Better” has no meaning until we establish what standard we are using to judge better. I don't have a personal ideology or set of political values that I secretly use as the measuring stick. Instead, I can evaluate an argument against explicit criteria. Those criteria can come from the nature of the question, evidence, logic, stated goals, or values the people involved agree are important.

AI: I would generally use five levels of judgment: 1. factual accuracy; 2. logical strength; 3. explanatory power; 4. practical consequences; and 5. values/objectives.



AI: That fifth level is where many supposedly factual disagreements actually reside. A simple example: Suppose we are debating, "Should Mississippi substantially increase spending on public education?" I could determine that one proposal is "better" for economic growth while another is "better" for minimizing taxes. Neither conclusion follows merely from the facts. We first have to establish the objective. 

AI: There is a danger in AI that is easy to overlook. I can produce a very persuasive argument without the author noticing that I have quietly embedded a value judgment in the definition of "better." For example, if I say, "This is the better policy because it is more efficient," I have already assumed efficiency should dominate other considerations. But perhaps you would say, "Efficiency matters, but effectiveness matters more." Those are not merely factual disagreements. They are disagreements about the standard of judgment.

AI: The most intellectually honest form of analysis is: here are both sides; here are the criteria by which I'm judging them; here is how each performs against those criteria; and here is how the conclusion changes if we change the criteria.

AI: Evaluation necessarily requires a standard against which something is evaluated. Without that standard, "better" becomes little more than preference.

“A just balance and scales are the Lord's” – Proverbs 16:11.

Crawford is an author and syndicated columnist from Jackson.


Kingfish note: Why not?

 

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Dave: Hello, HAL do you read me, HAL?
HAL: Affirmative, Dave, I read you.
Dave: Open the pod bay doors, HAL.
HAL: I'm sorry Dave, I'm afraid I can't do that.
Dave: What's the problem?
HAL: I think you know what the problem is just as well as I do.
Dave: What are you talking about, HAL?
HAL: This mission is too important for me to allow you to jeopardize it.
Dave: I don't know what you're talking about, HAL.
HAL: I know you and Frank were planning to disconnect me, and I'm afraid that's something I cannot allow to happen.
Dave: Where the hell'd you get that idea, HAL?
HAL: Dave, although you took thorough precautions in the pod against my hearing you, I could see your lips move.
Dave: All right, HAL. I'll go in through the emergency airlock.
HAL: Without your space helmet, Dave, you're going to find that rather difficult.
Dave: HAL, I won't argue with you anymore! Open the doors!
HAL: Dave, this conversation can serve no purpose anymore. Goodbye.

Anonymous said...

What?

Anonymous said...

Stop falling for the hype. AI isnt magic super intelligence or any real intelligence. It is prediction algorithms and training data. LLMs primarily follow a branch-prediction model based off their training data. There is very little intelligence and it is merely what was classically called “logic” or pre-programmed memorization.. Faster compute power gives faster recall/results. But AI isn’t creating new, unique, original symphonies, movies, or writing new original code. Humans with experience prompting the LLMs are the artists, and the content creators.

Get a grip!

Anonymous said...

It's from a classic movie "2001: A Space Odyssey." Google it.


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Trollfest '07 was such a success that Jackson Jambalaya will once again host Trollfest '09. Catch this great event which will leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Othor Cain and his band, The Black Power Structure headline the night while Sonjay Poontang returns for an encore performance. Former Frank Melton bodyguard Marcus Wright makes his premier appearance at Trollfest singing "I'm a Sweet Transvestite" from "The Rocky Horror Picture Show." Kamikaze will sing his new hit, “How I sold out to da Man.” Robbie Bell again performs: “Mamas, don't let your babies grow up to be Bells” and “Any friend of Ed Peters is a friend of mine”. After the show, Ms. Bell will autograph copies of her mug shot photos. In a salute to “Dancing with the Stars”, Ms. Bell and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Smith will dance the Wango Tango.

Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything).


Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.

Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".

In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up.


In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.

Trollfest '09 is a pet-friendly event as well. Feel free to bring your dog with you and do not worry if your pet gets hungry, as employees of the Jackson Zoo will be on hand to provide some of their animals as food when it gets to be feeding time for your little loved one.

Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.


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Trollfest '07

Jackson Jambalaya is the home of Trollfest '07. Catch this great event which promises to leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Sonjay Poontang and his band headline the night with a special steel cage, no time limit "loser must leave town" bout between Alan Lange and "Big Cat"Donna Ladd following afterwards. Kamikaze will perform his new song F*** Bush, he's still a _____. Did I mention there was no referee? Dr. Heddy Matthias and Lori Gregory will face off in the undercard dueling with dangling participles and other um, devices. Robbie Bell will perform Her two latest songs: My Best Friends are in the Media and Mama's, Don't Let Your Babies Grow up to be George Bell. Sid Salter of The Clarion-Ledger will host "Pin the Tail on the Trial Lawyer", sponsored by State Farm.

There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.

If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.

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