Sunday, March 9, 2025

Bill Crawford: Tariffs & DOGE Make Case for Caution About Tax Cuts

What impact will President Donald Trump’s tariffs and Elon Musk’s DOGE layoffs and contract cancellations have on Mississippi? It’s too soon to tell, but the risks of major impacts are high.

Trump imposed stiff tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China last week, then backed off some. All three countries announced retaliatory tariffs. A trade war risks upsetting critical supply chains and disrupting vital food markets. Mississippi export/import enterprises from farmers to refiners to manufacturers to retailers could be decimated. The president just about abolished USAID which has been a primary buyer of U.S. crops, many from Mississippi, for international food assistance.

Meanwhile layoffs of federal employees and contract cancelations loom. Trump and DOGE have threatened 50% or higher layoffs for HUD, IRS, VA, SSA, DOE, EPA, NSF, NOAA, GSA, USAID, and other agencies. Mississippi is home to nearly 20,000 federal employees not counting government contractors. Already, 13 federal offices in Mississippi have been ordered to close and two designated for sale.

To assume that huge federal spending cuts and high tariffs cannot harm Mississippi’s economy would be foolish. The president has admitted there is likely to be “short term pain.” The key questions are how much pain and how short is short term?

Smart states will take heed and act accordingly. Will Mississippi be one of those?

The hot political issue here is tax cuts. Gov. Tate Reeves and Speaker of the House Jason White want to totally eliminate the personal income tax, expressing confidence the state can afford to do so. Lt. Gov. Delbert Hosemann wants to reduce the income tax but not yet eliminate it, seeking to hold off until state revenues normalize after federal infusions and cuts.

It sure seems that as each day passes President Trump and DOGE announcements make the case ever stronger for the Lt. Governor’s more cautious approach.

There are other concerns with the House plan, the main one being tax increases, or a tax shift if you prefer. The House plan adds a 5% sales tax on fuel sales plus a 1.5% sales tax at the city and county levels on top of the state 7% sales tax. Both tax increases would take effect in 2026 but the income tax purge and a 4.5% grocery tax cut would be phased in over 10 years.

Hosemann’s Senate plan adds no local sales taxes; takes the income tax down to 2.99% over four years; adds three cents a gallon to the fuel tax yearly until it hits nine cents; and cuts the grocery sales tax to 5%.

“There is a time for everything, and a season for every activity under the heavens” – Ecclesiastes 3:1.

Crawford is the author of A Republican’s Lament: Mississippi Needs Good Government Conservatives.

19 comments:

Anonymous said...

"What impact will President Donald Trump’s tariffs and Elon Musk’s DOGE layoffs and contract cancellations have on Mississippi? It’s too soon to tell, but the risks of major impacts are high."

"It’s too soon to tell, but the benefit of major impacts are high."
Fixed if for ya Fish. Mississippi is corrupt to the bone because its dependency of Federal cash that's likely not even needed....it's just been "arranged". If the U.S. Dept. of Education goes away, let's hope all the Federal Financial Aid does to. Then we'll see where Mississippi REALLY stands.

Eliminate the waste, and let's start over with what works, and what taxation is actually necessary - rather than "can benefit" someone.

Anonymous said...

Elon Musk needs to stay in his lane and get back to figuring out how to make starships and cars that don’t explode.

Anonymous said...

There should have been tariffs a long time ago. If we would have had honest politicians we would have had them from the start. We should charge the same tariff the other countries charge us. USAID should have been shut down long ago. I can see why democrats don't want it to end. Several politicians families were becoming rich from USAID. The Clinton's daughter had a big hand in the cookie jar. Just look at what she was paid for providing meals for the needy. What she was paid for one meal would keep any aid in Ms. full of food for a year. Obama was also sticking his hand in the cookie jar. He was being paid several million dollars each year. One of his daughters was right along with him to the tune of 1.5 million. They were not the only people doing it. Seems like most of the aid USAID was going to democrats and very little was making it to the people who needed it.

Anonymous said...

Are the majority of the people who actually pay income tax in Mississippi pushing to get rid of it? Or is this a solution without a problem?

I have family members who live in a major city in Texas, and their property taxes are outrageous.

Anonymous said...

Trump's policies are going to hit his voters the hardest. I wonder if all those red-state Trump voters who claim to "vote my wallet" will still vote their wallets in 2026.

Or will they twist and contort themselves to find a way to keep voting Republican with a straight face, because that's what they've been programmed to do.

Anonymous said...

Mississippi exports $14.5 billion a year. 76% of our businesses export. We import $21.8/billion. We import crude petroleum oils, petroleum bitumen, artificial limbs, and medical and science equipment.

Unfortunately, much of what we export is dependent on parts that are imported. This is one of the reasons why tariffs wars are dangerous.

Those we imposed tariffs know just as well as we do how to " return the favor". They know which products we need most from them.

We need to start using our common sense. We can't export medical equipment unless we get the medical equipment parts we need.

I'm all for us being as self-sufficient as possible but it was big business that wanted a " global economy" so they could get cheap labor. It did not happen overnight. The first industry lost was the textile industry. It first went South for cheaper labor and then to other countries. We were not smart enough like Great Britain to retain a sufficient textile industry and we even didn't know that sheep , like cows and chicken were important. We killed tobacco rather than finding other uses or markets.

The moral here is that politicians aren't economists . For reason's unknown , we no longer trust those who have spent their lives gaining knowledge and skills. We trust the politicians who think they know everything about everything because they learned to do two things well. They learned to be popular enough to get supporters who will bankroll them ( popularity is dependent on tell people what they want to hear rather than what they need to know and looking good and sounding good while they do it). Both parties succeeded in getting rich ( see what both have on hand). They pick the candidates to bankroll/ and sticking to the party platform is essential. They even flood a ticket with ringers they pay to weaken support for their opponents. They pick judges and they remove guardrails. Insider trading is alive and well again today as a result. We killed the once cheap television programming we had thinking we were protecting children from cable porn. Now we pay through the teeth just to watch television when every intelligent person and rich person knew small satellite dishes were just around the corner. We gave easier access to porn and we did it fooling Christians. Indeed, we made some preachers rich in the process.
We are let the barbarians in simply because they asked us to let them in with their promise that they really liked us and presented no threat. It's a pity. It's also now too late and by the time some of you get in, the damage cannot be undone. Other prosperous nations fell into the same trap.

Anonymous said...

@12:21 PM I am willing to pay more for stuff in order to deport the illegals, to cut off the flow of tax dollars to fun degenerate garbage pushed on kids, and finally, to owning the libs so hard you scream and run to your therapists to increase your Zoloft dosages!

Anonymous said...

We’ve got to move from a leftist government controlled economy back to what made America great, capitalism.

27 EU countries with well over 100 million more citizens than ours not being able to deal with Russia on their own pretty much tells us that their leftist system of government does not work. If it did, they would be steam-rolling Russia instead being the p___y’s they are, waiting on American tax payers to fix it for them.

The Bill Crawford’s of this world, like the know it all EU so-called leaders, have all of the answers. Spend, spend, spend, print, print, print, and let future generations pay for it.

Anonymous said...

@12:21, people like you have been a godsend to conservatives. You refuse to believe the average American doesn’t want the woke policies, open borders, reckless spending, weak foreign policy, etc. that have been forced on us the past four years. Your party is now leaderless and in disarray. Thank you - please keep it up and don’t change.

Anonymous said...

They begged for it, they didn’t even ask for a lube.

Anonymous said...

Politicians have many slush funds they can dip into. Notice how politicians nearly always get to be millionaires after they are elected. They sure do not make millions from what they are paid. Their is one slush fund that many do not know about. Many years ago we could see how much was in it but when it got large they stopped letting us know how much is in it. Just last year it grew by over 16 billion dollars. Either it got very large or they are draining it as fast as they can.

Anonymous said...

"I have family members who live in a major city in Texas, and their property taxes are outrageous."

People have to pay for government services, one way or another. If you eliminate the income tax you have to tax other things to make up the difference.

See under: "Free lunch", there is no such thing as a.......

Anonymous said...

America will be humming along soon.... like a starship.

Anonymous said...

12:37 proving once again that MAGAts will gladly eat shit if they think a liberal will have to smell their breath.

Kingfish said...

It's not fair to hold an economy against a president 60 days into office. There is almost nothing he can do short of war or something catastrophic to influence it to that degree. Usually it takes a budget or two to start taking effect, including tax hikes or tax cuts and those don't really affect the economy until a year or two after passage. I said the same thing when Obama was president.

A barrage of regulation or deregulation can affect the economy much more quickly.

Then there is always the FED who can cripple or raise it with interest rates. Need to get rid of the dual mandate.

My favorite little trick in the blame game was what Hannity pulled when Obama was president. We always use the U3 number. When BO assumed the purple, Hannity suddenly starts using U6 and shrieking how much worse unemployment suddenly was.

Anonymous said...

@12:27 what mississippi imports is billions in federal tax dollars stolen from more prosperous state. I say cut it all to zero and start over. In the highly transactional nature of the current administration, mississippi has to provide something of value to get something in return. We have little anyone wants unless it’s hogs, chickens, and folks living off the federal tit. So long suckers!

Anonymous said...

Bill “decimated”. Really ?

Anonymous said...

12:21...In Trump's first term my income went up and my net worth doubled. I'd like more of this "pain."

Anonymous said...

If you haven't read Crawford's column yet let me save you some time. It isn't about tariffs. It is more pro-Democrat Delbert Hosemann spam.



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Trollfest '07 was such a success that Jackson Jambalaya will once again host Trollfest '09. Catch this great event which will leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Othor Cain and his band, The Black Power Structure headline the night while Sonjay Poontang returns for an encore performance. Former Frank Melton bodyguard Marcus Wright makes his premier appearance at Trollfest singing "I'm a Sweet Transvestite" from "The Rocky Horror Picture Show." Kamikaze will sing his new hit, “How I sold out to da Man.” Robbie Bell again performs: “Mamas, don't let your babies grow up to be Bells” and “Any friend of Ed Peters is a friend of mine”. After the show, Ms. Bell will autograph copies of her mug shot photos. In a salute to “Dancing with the Stars”, Ms. Bell and Hinds County District Attorney Robert Smith will dance the Wango Tango.

Wrestling returns, except this time it will be a Battle Royal with Othor Cain, Ben Allen, Kim Wade, Haley Fisackerly, Alan Lange, and “Big Cat” Donna Ladd all in the ring at the same time. The Battle Royal will be in a steel cage, no time limit, no referee, and the losers must leave town. Marshand Crisler will be the honorary referee (as it gives him a title without actually having to do anything).


Meet KIM Waaaaaade at the Entergy Tent. For five pesos, Kim will sell you a chance to win a deed to a crack house on Ridgeway Street stuffed in the Howard Industries pinata. Don't worry if the pinata is beaten to shreds, as Mr. Wade has Jose, Emmanuel, and Carlos, all illegal immigrants, available as replacements for the it. Upon leaving the Entergy tent, fig leaves will be available in case Entergy literally takes everything you have as part of its Trollfest ticket price adjustment charge.

Donna Ladd of The Jackson Free Press will give several classes on learning how to write. Smearing, writing without factchecking, and reporting only one side of a story will be covered. A donation to pay their taxes will be accepted and she will be signing copies of their former federal tax liens. Ms. Ladd will give a dramatic reading of her two award-winning essays (They received The Jackson Free Press "Best Of" awards.) "Why everything is always about me" and "Why I cover murders better than anyone else in Jackson".

In the spirit of helping those who are less fortunate, Trollfest '09 adopts a cause for which a portion of the proceeds and donations will be donated: Keeping Frank Melton in his home. The “Keep Frank Melton From Being Homeless” booth will sell chances for five dollars to pin the tail on the jackass. John Reeves has graciously volunteered to be the jackass for this honorable excursion into saving Frank's ass. What's an ass between two friends after all? If Mr. Reeves is unable to um, perform, Speaker Billy McCoy has also volunteered as when the word “jackass” was mentioned he immediately ran as fast as he could to sign up.


In order to help clean up the legal profession, Adam Kilgore of the Mississippi Bar will be giving away free, round-trip plane tickets to the North Pole where they keep their bar complaint forms (which are NOT available online). If you don't want to go to the North Pole, you can enjoy Brant Brantley's (of the Mississippi Commission on Judicial Performance) free guided tours of the quicksand field over by High Street where all complaints against judges disappear. If for some reason you are unable to control yourself, never fear; Judge Houston Patton will operate his jail where no lawyers are needed or allowed as you just sit there for minutes... hours.... months...years until he decides he is tired of you sitting in his jail. Do not think Judge Patton is a bad judge however as he plans to serve free Mad Dog 20/20 to all inmates.

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Relax at the Fox News Tent. Since there are only three blonde reporters in Jackson (being blonde is a requirement for working at Fox News), Megan and Kathryn from WAPT and Wendy from WLBT will be on loan to Fox. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both and a torn-up Obama yard sign will entitle you to free drinks served by Megan, Wendy, and Kathryn. Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required. Just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '09 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.


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Jackson Jambalaya is the home of Trollfest '07. Catch this great event which promises to leave NE Jackson & Fondren in flames. Sonjay Poontang and his band headline the night with a special steel cage, no time limit "loser must leave town" bout between Alan Lange and "Big Cat"Donna Ladd following afterwards. Kamikaze will perform his new song F*** Bush, he's still a _____. Did I mention there was no referee? Dr. Heddy Matthias and Lori Gregory will face off in the undercard dueling with dangling participles and other um, devices. Robbie Bell will perform Her two latest songs: My Best Friends are in the Media and Mama's, Don't Let Your Babies Grow up to be George Bell. Sid Salter of The Clarion-Ledger will host "Pin the Tail on the Trial Lawyer", sponsored by State Farm.

There will be a hugging booth where in exchange for your young son, Frank Melton will give you a loooong hug. Trollfest will have a dunking booth where Muhammed the terrorist will curse you to Allah as you try to hit a target that will drop him into a vat of pig grease. However, in the true spirit of Separate But Equal, Don Imus and someone from NE Jackson will also sit in the dunking booth for an equal amount of time. Tom Head will give a reading for two hours on why he can't figure out who the hell he is. Cliff Cargill will give lessons with his .80 caliber desert eagle, using Frank Melton photos as targets. Tackleberry will be on hand for an autograph session. KIM Waaaaaade will be passing out free titles and deeds to crackhouses formerly owned by The Wood Street Players.

If you get tired come relax at the Fox News Tent. To gain admittance to the VIP section, bring either your Republican Party ID card or a Rebel Flag. Bringing both will entitle you to free drinks.Get your tickets now. Since this is an event for trolls, no ID is required, just bring the hate. Bring the family, Trollfest '07 is for EVERYONE!!!

This is definitely a Beaver production.

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