Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Mason-Dixon poll: race tightens

WAPT reported the results of the latest Mason-Dixon poll on the Mayor's race last night:

Lee: 46%
Lumumba: 42%
Undecided: 12%

Last Friday:
Lee: 49%
Lumumba: 35%
Undecided: 15%

Race is tightening.  However, I don't take this poll too seriously for one good reason: WAPT did not realize the characteristics of the sample. I found out the sample size was 500 people. However, we do not know how many are black or white, male or female, young, old, you get the idea.  WAPT should publish the crosstabs.

But after the performance of the two moderators Friday night and the questions asked, perhaps that is asking too much.  Poll results.

19 comments:

KaptKangaroo said...

Though separated by great distance currently, this race is getting absurd. I am thankful for cooler heads that sometimes show up here to provide knowledgable insight into the shenanigans.

I absolutely support Lee. I would place more confidence in learning on the job than any hidden agenda behind a polished media persona.

Vote Lee.

Anonymous said...

Do you think Chokwe will be willing to make Northeast Jackson more bike friendly. I would like to be able to
ride my new trek between the new wholefoods store and The District.

Anonymous said...

a flyover bridge connecting The District and Broad Street would be absolutely kool and the gang

Anonymous said...

Agree with you KF that poll crosstabs should always be published.

But unless your suspicion is that whites are under-represented in the sample -- something I highly doubt -- then I'm not sure the details behind the poll will look any less dour for Lee than they do on the surface.

Anonymous said...

Word is that the turnout is low in Ward 1. If you are a Ward 1 voter (Whitwell's Ward), please go vote in the mayoral runoff.

Anonymous said...

At precinct 34 at 1230, about 600-700 people had voted.

Anonymous said...

As if we really need Kaptain Kangaroo to lecture us on 'cooler heads'.

This particular poll and the one preceding it are jokes. Chokwe's constituents do not have home telephones and they don't run many polls from a flatbed trailer with megaphone pulled around in West and South Jackson and through the dilapidated apartment complexes. No way to poll Chokwe's voters.

Anonymous said...

Water cooler update: Heard several folks today considering a North bound move if Edwin wins. Can't say I blame them. In the words of Marco Rubio... It's time to secure the border!

Anonymous said...

Yep 4:01 that is the scary part. Those votes count as much as mine. I wish we had the original rules on who could and couldn't vote, except the "only white men" part.

IE: you had to OWN PROPERTY to vote. Reasoning: owners paid the note carrying the country.

Anonymous said...

Hot blonde in blue dress with figure that won't quit standing with a Lee sign in front of 34 5 minutes ago. I'd vote for her!

KaptKangaroo said...

Great point 4:01 pm if you assume only supporters of Chockwe are impoverished. I think that might be considered a dangerous assumption. But fine insight if you sit on a perch sippin' lemonade on the front porch while recalling the days of yore.

Kingfish said...

Saw her. She was hot.

Anonymous said...

Where is 34? I wanna see too.

From Trash Can to Commander said...

At precinct 34 at 1230, about 600-700 people had voted.

Please call Lt. Graham of the Jackson Police Department @ (601)940-5320.

Yours is the type of accuracy he wants to emphasize in his district.

Anonymous said...

@6:08 I think you mean precision, but that's just coming from a guy with more to do than remember exact numbers he voluntarily posts to a blog. Dipshit.

Anonymous said...

If Lee loses he can at least be faulted for not having that HOTTIE in front the precinct, or rotating her around the various precincts, most of the day. DAMN, she was the best thing about this election!!!!!!!!!! OUCH!!!

Millsaps said...

Kap'n - Nobody mentioned 'impoverished'. You're sounding like Ladd, interjecting that sort of crap into every thought. Point made was the cell crowd can't be accessed in a legitimate poll. They have no land lines. If it's true that Lee carries whitey and people who own property, those are more likely to have land lines. It's a fact. Nothing racial or worthy of a sociology analogy. Therefore, such a poll as the one referenced would be skewed at best and worthless at worse.

Anonymous said...

Who can believe anything WAPT reports??? Someone is trashing this station!!!

KaptKangaroo said...

Thank you for your clearing that up for me.


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