Jackson Jambalaya

So how many have been cured?
How many of the deaths had other serious
Medical issues ?

So mississippi has 1293 confirmed survivors with immunity. Not yet enough for herd immunity. We need to get those numbers up.

today’s table says zero Hinds deaths, but had been saying 2?

WASHINGTON—Calling for an end to precautions such as social distancing and shelter-in-place mandates, President Donald Trump urged the loosening of CDC restrictions Tuesday to let Covid-19 get back to work.

“The economy is hurting—we must send the coronavirus back into our office buildings, schools, and factories,” said Trump, explaining that the nation cannot risk the possibility of the number of new cases and deaths crashing.

“We need those numbers up! This is America, and work is important here. Without work, the virus has no purpose.

Right now, there are millions of virus particles just sitting around and doing nothing.

The coronavirus wants to work, so we’re going to put it back to work as soon as possible.”

At press time, the Dow had skyrocketed as the coronavirus returned in full strength back into the American workforce.

Somebody is saying I wish I had stayed home.

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So mississippi has 1293 confirmed survivors with immunity. Not yet enough for herd immunity. We need to get those numbers up.
April 5, 2020 at 11:14 AM
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You realize this isn’t the same as chickenpox right? You can get it again and if you have a health issue unlike the first time you could be worse off.

Herd immunity is the answer. We're wasting time.

I nominate 11:14 to go forth and help increase the "herd immunity."

Simply subtracting the number of deaths and hospitalizations does not give you the survival rate or immunity rate. Many, if not most, of those are still sick. We also have no idea how long an individual's immunity lasts.

Updated from past several days:

I went back and looked at the day to day percentages starting with the initial confirmed case on Mar 11. While our percentages are dropping, we are still not in line with the national average of about 9.4% Italy's numbers are still 5%, FYI.

300%
25%
100%
20%
67%
70%
47%
60%
75%
48%
20%
29%
18%
29%
19%
15%
14%
12%
11% (3-30-2020)
15% (3-31-2020)
10% (4-1-2020)
15% (4-2-2020)
7% (4-3-2020) (does not fit trend, very likely an anomaly)
13% (4-4-2020) (more in line with trend)

Sort of splitting the difference here, but around 13% looks reasonable for now. If this continues to hold, I would expect to see the following numbers come out.

847
957 (937 actual) (3-30-2020) (2% error)
1,081 (1073 actual) (3-31-2020) (1% error)
1,221 (1177 actual) (4-1-2020) (4% error)
1,379 (1358 actual) (4-2-2020) (2% error)
1,558 (1455 actual) (4-3-2020) (7% error)
1,760 (1638 actual) (4-4-2020) (7% error)
1,988
2,246
2,537

There is a bottom limit, a mathematical asymptote, that we will not go below. Where that is remains to be seen. Also to note, even if/when MS gets to 10% daily rate, that still means just under 1k new confirmed each day by end of April.

It's important to find new ways to not spread this thing. Stay home. Wipe down door handles. Avoid gatherings of any type. Etc.

Additional thoughts and notes:

Clearly not every single person w/ become infected, but the majority will, more than enough to swamp the healthcare system and cause death rates to skyrocket (and not just for coronavirus patients).

All of the numbers I have posted are in an effort to show that exponential growth doesn't look like a problem at first, then it gets bad very quickly. Google 'back of the chessboard problem' if you want some more examples of this.

I'm following the numbers. So far, they all say we are headed down a path to look like NY in a few weeks, to look like Italy/Spain. I'm saying 'trust the data and science' while others are simply saying 'trust me'.

So where does this leave us?

Time will tell. I urge us all to continue the prevention we are doing and to increase it where possible.

It's still early, but the death numbers are very closely mirroring confirmed infection numbers from 14 days ago.

JJ commenters’ motto:

who carez whoz dead

Something to think about... There are those that think letting the virus run wild and getting it over with is the answer. By this point I think even the most stubborn will admit that course will swamp the hospital capacity, ICU capacity, ventilator capacity, and so on.

What that path does not consider, although we are getting hints of it in places, is that there are other, numerous, unknown constraints in the system. If you're planning on being treated with a 'z pack' or other 'recover at home' remedy from a doctor don't count on it.

It's a math problem at the core. We keep infections below the rate at which we can treat them and we are good. We keep enough people working so the unprepared don't go bankrupt and we are good.

@1:00 PM
My honest caring doesn't extend beyond my people. That would be my tribe, my family.

Possibly some good news for others; "Dr. Stephen Smith, founder of the Smith Center for Infectious Diseases and Urban Health in East Orange, New Jersey, said the remarkable results he is seeing in his coronavirus patients using a combination of the anti-malaria drug hydroxychloroquine and the antibiotic azithromycin marks the “beginning of the end” of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Smith said not a single patient he has been treating with the combination over a five-day period has had to be placed on a ventilator.

“The chance of that occurring by chance, according to my sons Leon and Hunter, who did some stats for me, are .000-something,” he said, adding that “it’s ridiculously low.”

The doctor stated he was currently treating 72 COVID-19 patients. Source Life & Liberty

"You realize this isn’t the same as chickenpox right? You can get it again and if you have a health issue unlike the first time you could be worse off. April 5, 2020 at 12:09 PM"

What's the source of that enlightenment, Doctor X?

Two or three weekends doesn't make "a trend" (it doesn't foreclose the start of one, either), but from some broad looking, it appears that numbers drop on the weekends, both in MS and in other states, and spike slightly on Monday-Tuesday. I'm pretty sure that COVID doesn't infect or kill by the calendar, so something else might be up. I sure hope it isn't a "weekend mentality" on the part of anyone.

"...remarkable results he is seeing in his coronavirus patients using a combination of the anti-malaria drug hydroxychloroquine and the antibiotic azithromycin..." Another RA drug, tocilizumab (Actemra) has also shown promise and has been approved for phase testing by the day-late-and-a-dollar-wasted FDA. Someone with some stroke needs to start getting serious with the bureaucrats and the egos.

To April 5, 2020 at 3:48 PM, It is unknown how long immunity lasts, and really, if there is any (absolute) immunity at all. It seems overwhelmingly likely there is immunity for some period of time after infection and "recovery" and the few apparent reported repeat infections are just incomplete "recovery" and/or false-positive test readings. That said, we cannot and should not assume that there is any period of absolute immunity in all patients, much less that there is complete lifelong immunity for any patients, in those infected and "recovered."

You are correct. Thanks to the Chinese abdicating their duty to report while they threw doctors in jail and destroyed samples, we lost valuable time and empirical data.

This thing moves so fast that we are very early in its cycle. We are literally learning on the fly and what is true now may not be true in ten days or a month. Models are adjusted, hypothesis are constantly changed, and evidence changes on a regular basis.

I've had Covid-19. Doc says it's like the flu when it comes to immunity. I should be good til next season.

6:52. What, you didn't die/ That's gonna make someone a tad upset. Glad you made it. Congrats.

I also had COVID 19. My wife and I went to Montreal and Quebec city over new years. I had it then. It was like the flu. Not quite as bad but it lingered a tad longer. I'm just hoped I didn't pass it along to any patients.